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Reviewer interest in a manuscript may predict its future citation potential

Author

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  • Geoffrey S. Shideler

    (University of Miami)

  • Rafael J. Araújo

    (University of Miami)

Abstract

Previous studies have investigated the relationship between editorial delay and eventual citations, and generally have found that longer editorial delays are related to fewer future citations. There are many reasons that editorial delay can occur, one such reason is the inability to find willing and able peer reviewers. While a previous study found that the most common reason for reviewers to decline is due to time constraints, it is unclear how reviewer interest and the potential to be cited are related. Here, we examined 4 years (2010–2013) of manuscripts submitted to the Bulletin of Marine Science and paired accepted articles with subsequent citation data. Our aim was to investigate: (1) the relationship between number of reviewer invitations and probability of acceptance, and (2) the limitation that number of reviewer invitations may have on citation rates (citations per year). Our findings suggest that the number of reviewer invitations sent is not related to the probability of manuscript acceptance. However, we found that the number of reviewer invitations sent may signal a limit on the number of citations per year. After seven reviewer invitations, there was a substantial drop in the potential of higher citation rates. We hypothesize that reviewer interest in a manuscript may serve as a predictor of the potential citations an article will receive, and could be one of many mechanisms behind the editorial delay–eventual citation relationship. Additional research is needed to see if these patterns hold true over longer time periods and for other journal titles and fields.

Suggested Citation

  • Geoffrey S. Shideler & Rafael J. Araújo, 2017. "Reviewer interest in a manuscript may predict its future citation potential," Scientometrics, Springer;Akadémiai Kiadó, vol. 113(2), pages 1171-1176, November.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:scient:v:113:y:2017:i:2:d:10.1007_s11192-017-2492-x
    DOI: 10.1007/s11192-017-2492-x
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Carlos B. Amat, 2008. "Editorial and publication delay of papers submitted to 14 selected Food Research journals. Influence of online posting," Scientometrics, Springer;Akadémiai Kiadó, vol. 74(3), pages 379-389, March.
    2. Zhenquan Lin & Shanci Hou & Jinshan Wu, 2016. "The correlation between editorial delay and the ratio of highly cited papers in Nature, Science and Physical Review Letters," Scientometrics, Springer;Akadémiai Kiadó, vol. 107(3), pages 1457-1464, June.
    3. Si Shen & Ronald Rousseau & Dongbo Wang & Danhao Zhu & Huoyu Liu & Ruilun Liu, 2015. "Editorial delay and its relation to subsequent citations: the journals Nature, Science and Cell," Scientometrics, Springer;Akadémiai Kiadó, vol. 105(3), pages 1867-1873, December.
    4. Dalibor Fiala & Cecília Havrilová & Martin Dostal & Ján Paralič, 2016. "Editorial Board Membership, Time to Accept, and the Effect on the Citation Counts of Journal Articles," Publications, MDPI, vol. 4(3), pages 1-8, July.
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    Cited by:

    1. Boris Forthmann & Mark Leveling & Yixiao Dong & Denis Dumas, 2020. "Investigating the quantity–quality relationship in scientific creativity: an empirical examination of expected residual variance and the tilted funnel hypothesis," Scientometrics, Springer;Akadémiai Kiadó, vol. 124(3), pages 2497-2518, September.

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