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Exploring socio-technical future scenarios in the media: the energy transition case in Italian daily newspapers

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  • Federico Neresini

    (University of Padua)

  • Paolo Giardullo

    (University of Padua)

  • Emanuele Buccio

    (University of Padua)

  • Alberto Cammozzo

    (University of Padua)

Abstract

The importance of expectations for the future is well recognised within the social sciences. Future scenarios as well as expectations are relevant components of emerging technoscientific innovations to be investigated. The investigation of expectations has been translated into a useful perspective for the sociological gaze seeking insights about innovation processes. In general, a relevant data source about discourses contributing to the construction of innovation networks is the discourse brought up by mass media. Therefore, we selected the media as our area of research for investigating socio-technical future scenarios. This presents several research challenges linked to content analysis and trend analysis. We selected three of them, namely: the detection of future scenarios in the media; wherever different representations of future scenarios do exist, whether they are complementary or competing; and whether and how representations of futures outlined in the past can mobilise actors in the present. We addressed these challenges by proposing a combination of research techniques ranging from text mining to social network analysis.

Suggested Citation

  • Federico Neresini & Paolo Giardullo & Emanuele Buccio & Alberto Cammozzo, 2020. "Exploring socio-technical future scenarios in the media: the energy transition case in Italian daily newspapers," Quality & Quantity: International Journal of Methodology, Springer, vol. 54(1), pages 147-168, February.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:qualqt:v:54:y:2020:i:1:d:10.1007_s11135-019-00947-w
    DOI: 10.1007/s11135-019-00947-w
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Kirkels, Arjan, 2016. "Biomass boom or bubble? A longitudinal study on expectation dynamics," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 103(C), pages 83-96.
    2. repec:ucp:bkecon:9780226750248 is not listed on IDEAS
    3. Geels, Frank W., 2002. "Technological transitions as evolutionary reconfiguration processes: a multi-level perspective and a case-study," Research Policy, Elsevier, vol. 31(8-9), pages 1257-1274, December.
    4. Michael Redclift, 2005. "Sustainable development (1987-2005): an oxymoron comes of age," Sustainable Development, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 13(4), pages 212-227.
    5. Ralf Barkemeyer & Philippe Givry & Frank Figge, 2018. "Trends and patterns in sustainability-related media coverage: A classification of issue-level attention," Environment and Planning C, , vol. 36(5), pages 937-962, August.
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