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Reporting Guidelines for the Use of Expert Judgement in Model-Based Economic Evaluations

Author

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  • Cynthia P. Iglesias

    (Centre for Health Economics and the Hull and York Medical School, University of York)

  • Alexander Thompson

    (The University of Manchester)

  • Wolf H. Rogowski

    (Institute of Health Economics and Health Care Management
    Institute of Public Health and Nursing Research, Health Sciences, University of Bremen)

  • Katherine Payne

    (The University of Manchester)

Abstract

Introduction Expert judgement has a role in model-based economic evaluations (EEs) of healthcare interventions. This study aimed to produce reporting criteria for two types of study design to use expert judgement in model-based EE: (i) an expert elicitation (quantitative) study; and (ii) a Delphi study to collate (qualitative) expert opinion. Methods A two-round online Delphi process identified the degree of consensus for four core definitions (expert; expert parameter values; expert elicitation study; expert opinion) and two sets of reporting criteria in a purposive sample of experts. The initial set of reporting criteria comprised 17 statements for reporting a study to elicit parameter values and/or distributions and 11 statements for reporting a Delphi survey to obtain expert opinion. Fifty experts were invited to become members of the Delphi process panel by e-mail. Data analysis summarised the extent of agreement (using a pre-defined 75 % ‘consensus’ threshold) on the definitions and suggested reporting criteria. Free-text comments were analysed using thematic analysis. Results The final panel comprised 12 experts. Consensus was achieved for the definitions of expert (88 %); expert parameter values (83 %); and expert elicitation study (83 %). The panel recommended criteria to use when reporting an expert elicitation study (16 criteria) and a Delphi study to collate expert opinion (11 criteria). Conclusion This study has produced guidelines for reporting two types of study design to use expert judgement in model-based EE: (i) an expert elicitation study requiring 16 reporting criteria; and (ii) a Delphi study to collate expert opinion requiring 11 reporting criteria.

Suggested Citation

  • Cynthia P. Iglesias & Alexander Thompson & Wolf H. Rogowski & Katherine Payne, 2016. "Reporting Guidelines for the Use of Expert Judgement in Model-Based Economic Evaluations," PharmacoEconomics, Springer, vol. 34(11), pages 1161-1172, November.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:pharme:v:34:y:2016:i:11:d:10.1007_s40273-016-0425-9
    DOI: 10.1007/s40273-016-0425-9
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    3. Hossein Haji Ali Afzali & Jonathan Karnon & Olga Theou & Justin Beilby & Matteo Cesari & Renuka Visvanathan, 2019. "Structuring a conceptual model for cost-effectiveness analysis of frailty interventions," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 14(9), pages 1-13, September.
    4. Jon Landeta & Aitziber Lertxundi, 2024. "Quality indicators for Delphi studies," Futures & Foresight Science, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 6(1), March.
    5. Sophia Beckett Velez, 2021. "Idiosyncratic Viral Loss Theory: Systemic Operational Losses in Banks," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 14(2), pages 1-13, February.
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