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Innovative trend analysis of main agriculture natural hazards in China during 1989–2014

Author

Listed:
  • Junli Li

    (Anhui Agricultural University
    Anhui Agricultural University
    Anhui Key Laboratory of Smart City and Geographical Condition Monitoring)

  • Wenjun Wu

    (Anhui Agricultural University
    Anhui Agricultural University)

  • Xinxin Ye

    (Anhui Agricultural University
    Anhui Agricultural University)

  • Hao Jiang

    (Anhui Agricultural University)

  • Ruijie Gan

    (Anhui Agricultural University)

  • Heli Wu

    (Anhui Agricultural University)

  • Jinglei He

    (Anhui Agricultural University)

  • Yuelin Jiang

    (Anhui Agricultural University
    Anhui Agricultural University)

Abstract

China is a country where the agricultural areas are frequently affected by natural hazards, and comprehending the change trends of natural hazards is of great significance to sustainable development in agriculture. Innovative trend analysis (ITA) is a new and important trend detection method. In this study, the ITA method was used to analyze five kinds of natural hazards in agricultural areas of China during 1989–2014: wind and hail, forest fire, drought, flood, and freezing hazard. The ITA method was compared with two traditional trend analysis methods, i.e., the Mann–Kendall (M–K) test and linear regression analysis (LRA). The results showed that the areas affected by wind and hail, forest fire, drought, and flood in China are showing significant decreasing trends (p

Suggested Citation

  • Junli Li & Wenjun Wu & Xinxin Ye & Hao Jiang & Ruijie Gan & Heli Wu & Jinglei He & Yuelin Jiang, 2019. "Innovative trend analysis of main agriculture natural hazards in China during 1989–2014," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 95(3), pages 677-720, February.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:nathaz:v:95:y:2019:i:3:d:10.1007_s11069-018-3514-6
    DOI: 10.1007/s11069-018-3514-6
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    References listed on IDEAS

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