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Global flood risk under climate change

Author

Listed:
  • Yukiko Hirabayashi

    (Institute of Engineering Innovation, The University of Tokyo)

  • Roobavannan Mahendran

    (Institute of Engineering Innovation, The University of Tokyo)

  • Sujan Koirala

    (Institute of Engineering Innovation, The University of Tokyo)

  • Lisako Konoshima

    (Institute of Engineering Innovation, The University of Tokyo)

  • Dai Yamazaki

    (School of Geographical Sciences, University of Bristol)

  • Satoshi Watanabe

    (Institute of Engineering Innovation, The University of Tokyo)

  • Hyungjun Kim

    (Institute of Industrial Science, The University of Tokyo)

  • Shinjiro Kanae

    (Tokyo Institute of Technology)

Abstract

Flood risk is expected to increase as the climate warms. This study, for the first time, uses several climate models to estimate the global risk of flooding at the end of the century. Projections show a large increase in flood frequency in some areas, whereas other regions can expect a decrease. Vulnerability is dependent on the degree of warming and the interannual variability in precipitation.

Suggested Citation

  • Yukiko Hirabayashi & Roobavannan Mahendran & Sujan Koirala & Lisako Konoshima & Dai Yamazaki & Satoshi Watanabe & Hyungjun Kim & Shinjiro Kanae, 2013. "Global flood risk under climate change," Nature Climate Change, Nature, vol. 3(9), pages 816-821, September.
    • Handle: RePEc:nat:natcli:v:3:y:2013:i:9:d:10.1038_nclimate1911
    DOI: 10.1038/nclimate1911
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