IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/spr/nathaz/v92y2018i1d10.1007_s11069-018-3191-5.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

A critical review of potential tsunamigenic sources as first step towards the tsunami hazard assessment for the Napoli Gulf (Southern Italy) highly populated area

Author

Listed:
  • I. Alberico

    (Istituto per l’Ambiente Marino Costiero, IAMC-CNR)

  • F. Budillon

    (Istituto per l’Ambiente Marino Costiero, IAMC-CNR)

  • D. Casalbore

    (Sapienza, Università di Roma)

  • V. Fiore

    (Istituto per l’Ambiente Marino Costiero, IAMC-CNR)

  • R. Iavarone

    (Istituto di Biologia Agroambientale e Forestale, IBAF-CNR)

Abstract

Catastrophic tsunami events like those occurred in Papua New Guinea in 1998, Sumatra in 2004 and Japan in 2011, attracted the attention of the scientific community and promoted the development of different tools for assessing tsunami hazard. A preliminary step towards this goal is the knowledge of the events which might affect a specific coastal zone. In this context, we propose a method to identify the tsunami events possibly occurring in areas characterized by scarce data and a non-conservative environment. Accordingly, we propose different indices to summarize the knowledge on tsunami triggering mechanisms (earthquakes, landslides, volcanic eruptions), the characteristics of those mechanisms (magnitude of earthquakes, volume of landslide, Volcanic Explosivity Index) and tsunami features (water height, run-up, wave amplitude, propagation time). This knowledge, considered over a wider area than that of interest, allows for a paramount vision of possible hazardous events that could affect a particular coastal zone. Moreover, the tsunami simulation data and the analysis of potentially tsunamigenic slides which occurred on the Campania continental margins were also considered in the analysis. We focused our attention on Napoli megacity, because the high population density (about 1 million of people live on a territory of 117 km2), together with the presence of active volcanic areas (Ischia, Somma-Vesuvio and Campi Flegrei), make this city potentially exposed to tsunami risk. The main outcome of such an approach shows that in the near field a tsunami amplitude varying from a few centimetres (30–40 cm) to some metres (1–4 m) might be expected at the coastline if the tsunami event was triggered by volcanic activity, whereas no relevant tsunami event should be expected given the peculiar seismicity of the Neapolitan volcanic areas, with earthquakes rarely exceeding 4 Mw, if any possible cascade effects are overlooked. A morphometric analysis of high-resolution bathymetry collected between Ventotene Island and the Gulf of Salerno has shown that the submarine southern sectors of the Ischia Island and the Sorrento Peninsula are characterized by a high density of landslide scars, being thus a potential source area of landslide-generated tsunamis. However, despite the susceptibility of these areas to recurrent slope failures, only four submarine landslide scars were found to be potentially tsunamigenic with estimated tsunami amplitude of few metres at the coastline as predicted by coupling slide morphometry with tsunami amplitude equations. Concerning the tsunamis generated by earthquakes in the Western Mediterranean, only those triggered by high magnitude events (value ≥ 6–7 Mw) might affect the city of Napoli with an amplitude not exceeding 0.5 m, in about 30′.

Suggested Citation

  • I. Alberico & F. Budillon & D. Casalbore & V. Fiore & R. Iavarone, 2018. "A critical review of potential tsunamigenic sources as first step towards the tsunami hazard assessment for the Napoli Gulf (Southern Italy) highly populated area," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 92(1), pages 43-76, May.
  • Handle: RePEc:spr:nathaz:v:92:y:2018:i:1:d:10.1007_s11069-018-3191-5
    DOI: 10.1007/s11069-018-3191-5
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://link.springer.com/10.1007/s11069-018-3191-5
    File Function: Abstract
    Download Restriction: Access to the full text of the articles in this series is restricted.

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1007/s11069-018-3191-5?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. R. Omira & M. Baptista & J. Miranda & E. Toto & C. Catita & J. Catalão, 2010. "Tsunami vulnerability assessment of Casablanca-Morocco using numerical modelling and GIS tools," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 54(1), pages 75-95, July.
    2. Stefano Tinti & Alessandra Maramai & Laura Graziani, 2004. "The New Catalogue of Italian Tsunamis," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 33(3), pages 439-465, November.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Gemma Aiello & Marco Sacchi, 2022. "New morpho-bathymetric data on marine hazard in the offshore of Gulf of Naples (Southern Italy)," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 111(3), pages 2881-2908, April.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Fatemeh Nemati & Stephan T. Grilli & Mansour Ioualalen & Laurie Boschetti & Christophe Larroque & Jenny Trevisan, 2019. "High-resolution coastal hazard assessment along the French Riviera from co-seismic tsunamis generated in the Ligurian fault system," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 96(2), pages 553-586, March.
    2. Geoff Main & Ritienne Gauci & John A. Schembri & David K. Chester, 2022. "A multi-hazard historical catalogue for the city-island-state of Malta (Central Mediterranean)," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 114(1), pages 605-628, October.
    3. Duygu Tufekci-Enginar & M. Lutfi Suzen & Ahmet Cevdet Yalciner, 2021. "The evaluation of public awareness and community preparedness parameter in GIS-based spatial tsunami human vulnerability assessment (MeTHuVA)," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 105(3), pages 2639-2658, February.
    4. Laurie Boschetti & Mansour Ioualalen & Fatemeh Nemati & Stephan Grilli & Jean-Xavier Dessa & Christophe Larroque, 2020. "Tsunami intensity scale based on wave amplitude and current applied to the French Riviera: the case study of local seismicity," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 102(1), pages 219-248, May.
    5. Krešimir Ruić & Jadranka Šepić & Marko Mlinar & Iva Međugorac, 2023. "Contribution of high-frequency (T," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 116(3), pages 3747-3777, April.
    6. La Daana K. Kanhai & Delezia Singh & Bruce Lauckner & Kristie L. Ebi & Dave D. Chadee, 2016. "Knowledge, attitude and practices of coastal communities in Trinidad and Tobago about tsunamis," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 81(2), pages 1349-1372, March.
    7. Francesca Minniti & Giuseppe Barbaro & Giandomenico Foti, 2022. "Modeling of the 1783 Tsunami Event in Scilla Generated by Landslide," Land, MDPI, vol. 11(1), pages 1-20, January.
    8. Duygu Tufekci & Mehmet Lutfi Suzen & Ahmet Cevdet Yalciner & Andrey Zaytsev, 2018. "Revised MeTHuVA method for assessment of tsunami human vulnerability of Bakirkoy district, Istanbul," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 90(2), pages 943-974, January.
    9. James Goff & Scott Nichol & David Kennedy, 2010. "Development of a palaeotsunami database for New Zealand," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 54(2), pages 193-208, August.
    10. Carl Harbitz & Finn Løvholt & Hilmar Bungum, 2014. "Submarine landslide tsunamis: how extreme and how likely?," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 72(3), pages 1341-1374, July.
    11. La Kanhai & Delezia Singh & Bruce Lauckner & Kristie Ebi & Dave Chadee, 2016. "Knowledge, attitude and practices of coastal communities in Trinidad and Tobago about tsunamis," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 81(2), pages 1349-1372, March.
    12. M. Pasarić & B. Brizuela & L. Graziani & A. Maramai & M. Orlić, 2012. "Historical tsunamis in the Adriatic Sea," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 61(2), pages 281-316, March.
    13. Grezio Anita & Laura Sandri & Warner Marzocchi & Andrea Argnani & Paolo Gasparini & Jacopo Selva, 2012. "Probabilistic tsunami hazard assessment for Messina Strait Area (Sicily, Italy)," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 64(1), pages 329-358, October.
    14. Ana Cruz & Elisabeth Krausmann & Giovanni Franchello, 2011. "Analysis of tsunami impact scenarios at an oil refinery," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 58(1), pages 141-162, July.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:spr:nathaz:v:92:y:2018:i:1:d:10.1007_s11069-018-3191-5. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Sonal Shukla or Springer Nature Abstracting and Indexing (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.springer.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.