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Spatiotemporal variation of hydrological drought based on the Optimal Standardized Streamflow Index in Luanhe River basin, China

Author

Listed:
  • Xu Chen

    (Tianjin University
    Taiyuan University of Technology)

  • Fa-wen Li

    (Tianjin University
    Hohai University)

  • Ping Feng

    (Tianjin University
    Hohai University)

Abstract

To establish the drought index objectively and reasonably and evaluate the hydrological drought accurately, firstly, the optimal distribution was selected from nine distributions (normal, lognormal, exponential, gamma, general extreme value, inverse Gaussian, logistic, log-logistic and Weibull), then the Optimal Standardized Streamflow Index (OSSI) was calculated based on the optimal distribution, and last, the spatiotemporal evolution of hydrological drought based on the OSSI series was investigated through the monthly streamflow data of seven hydrological stations during the period 1961–2011 in Luanhe River basin, China. Results suggest: (1) the general extreme value and log-logistic distributions performed prominently in fitting the monthly streamflow of Luanhe River basin. (2) The main periods of hydrological drought in Luanhe River basin were 148–169, 75–80, 42–45, 14–19 and 8–9 months. (3) The hydrological drought had an aggravating trend over the past 51 year and with the increase in timescale, the aggravating trend was more serious. (4) The lower the drought grade was, the broader the coverage area. As for the Luanhe River basin, the whole basin suffered the mild and more serious drought, while the severe and more serious drought only cover some areas. (5) With the increase in time step, the frequency distribution of mild droughts across the basin tended to be concentrated, the frequency of extreme droughts in middle and upper reaches tended to increase and the frequency in downstream tends to decrease. This research can provide powerful references for water resources planning and management and drought mitigation.

Suggested Citation

  • Xu Chen & Fa-wen Li & Ping Feng, 2018. "Spatiotemporal variation of hydrological drought based on the Optimal Standardized Streamflow Index in Luanhe River basin, China," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 91(1), pages 155-178, March.
  • Handle: RePEc:spr:nathaz:v:91:y:2018:i:1:d:10.1007_s11069-017-3118-6
    DOI: 10.1007/s11069-017-3118-6
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Liu, Zhi & Xia, Xiaochao & Zhou, Wang, 2015. "A test for equality of two distributions via jackknife empirical likelihood and characteristic functions," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 92(C), pages 97-114.
    2. Zhiyong Wu & Qingxia Lin & Guihua Lu & Hai He & John Qu, 2015. "Analysis of hydrological drought frequency for the Xijiang River Basin in South China using observed streamflow data," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 77(3), pages 1655-1677, July.
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