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The assessment of traffic accident risk based on grey relational analysis and fuzzy comprehensive evaluation method

Author

Listed:
  • Yaolong Liu

    (Taiyuan University of Technology)

  • Xiaoli Huang

    (Taiyuan University of Technology)

  • Jin Duan

    (Taiyuan University of Technology)

  • Huaming Zhang

    (Meteorological Disaster Prevention Technology Center of Shanxi Province)

Abstract

The traffic accident risk includes three aspects, traffic accident probability, traffic accident severity, and traffic accident trend respectively. In this paper, nine indicators are selected to evaluate the traffic accident risk. The grey relational analysis method was used to determine the weights, and the fuzzy comprehensive evaluation method was used to calculate the risk. These methods were applied to assess the comprehensive risk of traffic accident in 31 provinces in China. The results show that the average value of traffic accident risk is 55.17. Nine provinces which are located in the northwest area and southeast area belong to the high-risk level. The medium-risk areas are widely distributed in the central, northeast, and southwest regions. The low-risk areas are Jilin, Neimenggu, Guizhou, and Beijing. The results have great significance for the measurement and management of regional traffic accident risk.

Suggested Citation

  • Yaolong Liu & Xiaoli Huang & Jin Duan & Huaming Zhang, 2017. "The assessment of traffic accident risk based on grey relational analysis and fuzzy comprehensive evaluation method," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 88(3), pages 1409-1422, September.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:nathaz:v:88:y:2017:i:3:d:10.1007_s11069-017-2923-2
    DOI: 10.1007/s11069-017-2923-2
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    Cited by:

    1. Zhuguang Lan & Ming Huang, 2018. "Safety assessment for seawall based on constrained maximum entropy projection pursuit model," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 91(3), pages 1165-1178, April.
    2. Eric Adzivor & Fidelis Emuze & Moses Ahiabu & Moses Kusedzi, 2024. "Scaling up a Positive Safety Culture among Construction Small and Medium-Sized Enterprises in Ghana," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 21(7), pages 1-18, June.
    3. Fei Li & Minsi Xiao & Jingdong Zhang & Chaoyang Liu & Zhenzhen Qiu & Ying Cai, 2018. "Spatial Distribution, Chemical Fraction and Fuzzy Comprehensive Risk Assessment of Heavy Metals in Surface Sediments from the Honghu Lake, China," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 15(2), pages 1-17, January.
    4. Qingwei Xu & Kaili Xu & Fang Zhou, 2020. "Safety Assessment of Casting Workshop by Cloud Model and Cause and Effect–LOPA to Protect Employee Health," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 17(7), pages 1-18, April.
    5. Péter Mogyorósi & Sándor Szénási & Edit Laufer, 2024. "Fuzzy-Based Road Accident Risk Assessment," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 12(8), pages 1-18, April.
    6. Ji-Min Sur & Young-Ju Kim, 2024. "Multi-Criteria Model for Identifying and Ranking Risky Types of Maritime Accidents Using Integrated Ordinal Priority Approach and Grey Relational Analysis Approach," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 16(14), pages 1-18, July.
    7. Yucui Ning & Xu Wang & Yanna Yang & Xu Cao & Yulong Wu & Detang Zou & Dongxing Zhou, 2022. "Studying the Effect of Straw Returning on the Interspecific Symbiosis of Soil Microbes Based on Carbon Source Utilization," Agriculture, MDPI, vol. 12(7), pages 1-16, July.
    8. Bo Shao & Zhigen Hu & Dawei Liu, 2019. "Using Improved Principal Component Analysis to Explore Construction Accident Situations from the Multi-Dimensional Perspective: A Chinese Study," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 16(18), pages 1-18, September.
    9. Wei Wang & Chenhong Xia & Chaofeng Liu & Ziyi Wang, 2020. "Study of double combination evaluation of urban comprehensive disaster risk," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 104(2), pages 1181-1209, November.
    10. Teng Wang & Jingjing Yan & Jinlong Ma & Fei Li & Chaoyang Liu & Ying Cai & Si Chen & Jingjing Zeng & Yu Qi, 2018. "A Fuzzy Comprehensive Assessment and Hierarchical Management System for Urban Lake Health: A Case Study on the Lakes in Wuhan City, Hubei Province, China," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 15(12), pages 1-16, November.
    11. Zhiqiang Liu & Hejun Liang & Dongping Pu & Fei Xie & E Zhang & Qi Zhou, 2020. "How Does the Control of Grain Purchase Price Affect the Sustainability of the National Grain Industry? One Empirical Study from China," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(5), pages 1-21, March.

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