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Modelling sea level surges in the Firth of Clyde, a fjordic embayment in south-west Scotland

Author

Listed:
  • Alessandro D. Sabatino

    (University of Strathclyde)

  • Rory B. O’Hara Murray

    (Marine Laboratory)

  • Alan Hills

    (SEPA, Scottish Environment Protection Agency)

  • Douglas C. Speirs

    (University of Strathclyde)

  • Michael R. Heath

    (University of Strathclyde)

Abstract

Storm surges are an abnormal enhancement of the water level in response to weather perturbations. They have the capacity to cause damaging flooding of coastal regions, especially when they coincide with astronomical high spring tides. Some areas of the UK have suffered particularly damaging surge events, and the Firth of Clyde is a region with high risk due to its location and morphology. Here, we use a three-dimensional high spatial resolution hydrodynamic model to simulate the local bathymetric and morphological enhancement of surge in the Clyde, and disaggregate the effects of far-field atmospheric pressure distribution and local scale wind forcing of surges. A climatological analysis, based on 30 years of data from Millport tide gauges, is also discussed. The results suggest that floods are not only caused by extreme surge events, but also by the coupling of spring high tides with moderate surges. Water level is also enhanced by a funnelling effect due to the bathymetry and the morphology of fjordic sealochs and the River Clyde Estuary. In a world of rising sea level, studying the propagation and the climatology of surges and high water events is fundamental. In addition, high-resolution hydrodynamic models are essential to forecast extreme events and to prevent the loss of lives, or to plan coastal defences solutions.

Suggested Citation

  • Alessandro D. Sabatino & Rory B. O’Hara Murray & Alan Hills & Douglas C. Speirs & Michael R. Heath, 2016. "Modelling sea level surges in the Firth of Clyde, a fjordic embayment in south-west Scotland," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 84(3), pages 1601-1623, December.
  • Handle: RePEc:spr:nathaz:v:84:y:2016:i:3:d:10.1007_s11069-016-2506-7
    DOI: 10.1007/s11069-016-2506-7
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Yusuf Kaya & Michael Stewart & Marc Becker, 2005. "Flood Forecasting and Flood Warning in the Firth of Clyde, UK," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 36(1), pages 257-271, September.
    2. James Banks & Janey Camp & Mark Abkowitz, 2014. "Adaptation planning for floods: a review of available tools," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 70(2), pages 1327-1337, January.
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    Cited by:

    1. Matías G. Dinápoli & Claudia G. Simionato & Diego Moreira, 2020. "Development and validation of a storm surge forecasting/hindcasting modelling system for the extensive Río de la Plata Estuary and its adjacent Continental Shelf," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 103(2), pages 2231-2259, September.
    2. Sophie A M Elliott & Alessandro D Sabatino & Michael R Heath & William R Turrell & David M Bailey, 2017. "Landscape effects on demersal fish revealed by field observations and predictive seabed modelling," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 12(12), pages 1-13, December.

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