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Hindcast of the Hércules winter storm in the North Atlantic

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  • Sonia Ponce de León
  • C. Guedes Soares

Abstract

The study describes the Hércules storm hindcast performed with the WAM model during one of the major cyclones that occurred in the North Atlantic in the last several years. A description of the development of a peculiar winter season in which a number of consecutive storms took place severely beating the west of Europe is provided. The performed hindcast was carefully conducted applying WAM model in combination with the reanalysis of NOAA/NCEP (CFSRv2). These results were validated against the network wave buoys of the Port of Authorities (Puertos del Estado) of Spain around the North Atlantic Spanish and Portuguese continental shelf showing a high correlation during the 2 months of the simulation period (1 December 2013 up to 5 February 2014). The study also determined the Benjamin–Feir index and showed that close to the Iberian Peninsula there was a high probability of occurrence of abnormal waves generated in this storm. Copyright Springer Science+Business Media Dordrecht 2015

Suggested Citation

  • Sonia Ponce de León & C. Guedes Soares, 2015. "Hindcast of the Hércules winter storm in the North Atlantic," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 78(3), pages 1883-1897, September.
  • Handle: RePEc:spr:nathaz:v:78:y:2015:i:3:p:1883-1897
    DOI: 10.1007/s11069-015-1806-7
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Arno Behrens & Heinz Günther, 2009. "Operational wave prediction of extreme storms in Northern Europe," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 49(2), pages 387-399, May.
    2. J. Panigrahi & P. Umesh & C. Padhy & J. Swain, 2012. "Nearshore propagation of cyclonic waves," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 60(2), pages 605-622, January.
    3. Usha Natesan & P. Rajalakshmi & M. Ramana Murthy & Vincent Ferrer, 2013. "Estimation of wave heights during cyclonic conditions using wave propagation model," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 69(3), pages 1751-1766, December.
    4. Jitendra Panigrahi & S. Misra, 2010. "Numerical hindcast of extreme waves," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 53(2), pages 361-374, May.
    5. V. Sanil Kumar & Glejin Johnson & K. Dubhashi & T. Balakrishnan Nair, 2013. "Waves off Puducherry, Bay of Bengal, during cyclone THANE," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 69(1), pages 509-522, October.
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