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Coastal vulnerability to sea-level rise: a spatial–temporal assessment framework

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  • Oz Sahin
  • Sherif Mohamed

Abstract

The scientific community is confident that warming of the Earth’s climate is unequivocal. Sea-level rise, which poses potential threats to coastal areas, is one of the most recognised possible impacts of this climate change. The nonlinearities, complexities, and spatial and temporal lags are common characteristics of coastal processes driven by human and natural interaction. With the acknowledgement of the complexity and dynamic nature of coastal systems, this paper introduces a spatial–temporal assessment framework, for addressing both the temporal and spatial variations, when assessing the vulnerability of natural and human systems in coastal areas. The framework is based upon a combination of system dynamics (SD) modelling and geographical information systems by taking into account spatial (x, y, z) and temporal (t) dimensions. The strategy of the adopted approach is to use the loose coupling approach by which a spatial model component is incorporated into a SD model component through a data converter. Copyright Springer Science+Business Media Dordrecht 2014

Suggested Citation

  • Oz Sahin & Sherif Mohamed, 2014. "Coastal vulnerability to sea-level rise: a spatial–temporal assessment framework," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 70(1), pages 395-414, January.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:nathaz:v:70:y:2014:i:1:p:395-414
    DOI: 10.1007/s11069-013-0818-4
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    2. Alberto Gabino Martínez-Hernández, 2022. "System Dynamics modelling and Climate Change Adaptation in Coastal Areas: A literature review," Working Papers 2022.21, Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei.
    3. J. Shaji, 2014. "Coastal sensitivity assessment for Thiruvananthapuram, west coast of India," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 73(3), pages 1369-1392, September.
    4. Ramiro Parrado & Francesco Bosello & Elisa Delpiazzo & Jochen Hinkel & Daniel Lincke & Sally Brown, 2020. "Fiscal effects and the potential implications on economic growth of sea-level rise impacts and coastal zone protection," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 160(2), pages 283-302, May.
    5. Martínez-Hernández, Alberto Gabino, 2022. "System Dynamics Modelling and Climate Change Adaptation in Coastal Areas: A Literature Review," FEEM Working Papers 322836, Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei (FEEM).
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    7. Peng Zhang & Lanyimin Li & Yishu Wang & Chengchun Shi & Chenchen Fan, 2021. "Influence of Riverbed Incision and Hydrological Evolution on Water Quality and Water Age Based on Numerical Simulation: A Case Study of the Minjiang Estuary," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 18(11), pages 1-19, June.

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