IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/spr/nathaz/v66y2013i2p533-544.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Effects of glacier melting on socioeconomic development in the Manas River basin, China

Author

Listed:
  • Xiang-ling Tang
  • Li-Ping Xu
  • Zheng-Yong Zhang
  • Xin Lv

Abstract

This study used 46 years of recent data, including glacial area, temperature, precipitation, and runoff data, to examine the glacier melting and its possible socioeconomic effects in the Manas River basin in western China. The average yearly change in the glaciated area in the Manas River basin for the entire study period was 0.41 %, and the glacier mass balance mainly keeps negative in the last 46 years. The negative glacial mass balance observed between 1986 and 2006 was 2.8 times greater than that for the period 1960–1985. Additionally, the amount of meltwater runoff was 78 % greater in 1986–2006 than in 1960–1985, with a mean depth of 478 mm year −1 .Glacier melting and runoff in the Manas River basin during the late twentieth century were higher than at present. Annual meltwater volumes can reach 1 × 10 8 m 3 , providing beneficial water resources to downstream areas. However, as the climate becomes warmer, the risk of meltwater flooding will also increase. Our calculations indicate that after the 2030s, the level of flooding risk will increase substantially. Copyright The Author(s) 2013

Suggested Citation

  • Xiang-ling Tang & Li-Ping Xu & Zheng-Yong Zhang & Xin Lv, 2013. "Effects of glacier melting on socioeconomic development in the Manas River basin, China," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 66(2), pages 533-544, March.
  • Handle: RePEc:spr:nathaz:v:66:y:2013:i:2:p:533-544
    DOI: 10.1007/s11069-012-0499-4
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1007/s11069-012-0499-4
    Download Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers.

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1007/s11069-012-0499-4?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Yang Zhou & Ning Li & Wenxiang Wu & Haolong Liu & Li Wang & Guangxu Liu & Jidong Wu, 2014. "Socioeconomic development and the impact of natural disasters: some empirical evidences from China," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 74(2), pages 541-554, November.
    2. Fenghua Zhang & Munir Hanjra & Fan Hua & Yunqiao Shu & Yuyi Li, 2014. "Analysis of climate variability in the Manas River Valley, North-Western China (1956–2006)," Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change, Springer, vol. 19(7), pages 1091-1107, October.
    3. Yan Liu & Lu Xinyu & Zhang Liancheng & Li Yang & Ji Chunrong & Wang Ni & Zhang Juan, 2021. "Quantifying rain, snow and glacier meltwater in river discharge during flood events in the Manas River Basin, China," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 108(1), pages 1137-1158, August.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:spr:nathaz:v:66:y:2013:i:2:p:533-544. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    We have no bibliographic references for this item. You can help adding them by using this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Sonal Shukla or Springer Nature Abstracting and Indexing (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.springer.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.