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Drought triggers and declarations: science and policy considerations for drought risk management

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  • Linda Botterill
  • Michael Hayes

Abstract

This paper explores the value of triggers and declarations in the management of drought, bringing together two disciplinary perspectives, those of the public policy scholar and the climate scientist. These two perspectives highlight the complexity of the development and use of triggers in drought risk management by drawing on the experience of the United States, which has the most sophisticated system of drought triggers in the world, and that of Australia that has the most developed and longest standing national drought policy based on principles of risk management. The paper explores the advantages and disadvantages of triggers in managing drought, concluding that triggers are useful risk management tools at the individual level but become problematic and can lead to perverse outcomes when linked to some forms of government support programs. Copyright Springer Science+Business Media B.V. 2012

Suggested Citation

  • Linda Botterill & Michael Hayes, 2012. "Drought triggers and declarations: science and policy considerations for drought risk management," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 64(1), pages 139-151, October.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:nathaz:v:64:y:2012:i:1:p:139-151
    DOI: 10.1007/s11069-012-0231-4
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Productivity Commission, 2009. "Government Drought Support," Inquiry Reports, Productivity Commission, Government of Australia, number 46.
    2. Bruce Chapman & Linda Courtenay Botterill, 2009. "A Revenue Contingent Loan Instrument for Agricultural Credit with Particular Reference to Drought Relief," Australian Journal of Labour Economics (AJLE), Bankwest Curtin Economics Centre (BCEC), Curtin Business School, vol. 12(2), pages 181-196.
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    Cited by:

    1. Xinyu Fu & Mark Svoboda & Zhenghong Tang & Zhijun Dai & Jianjun Wu, 2013. "An overview of US state drought plans: crisis or risk management?," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 69(3), pages 1607-1627, December.
    2. Jessica Bhardwaj & Yuriy Kuleshov & Andrew B. Watkins & Isabella Aitkenhead & Atifa Asghari, 2021. "Building capacity for a user-centred Integrated Early Warning System (I-EWS) for drought in the Northern Murray-Darling Basin," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 107(1), pages 97-122, May.
    3. J. N. Okpara & K. O. Ogunjobi & E. A. Adefisan, 2022. "Developing objective dry spell and drought triggers for drought monitoring in the Niger Basin of West Africa," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 112(3), pages 2465-2492, July.
    4. Nam, Won-Ho & Hayes, Michael J. & Svoboda, Mark D. & Tadesse, Tsegaye & Wilhite, Donald A., 2015. "Drought hazard assessment in the context of climate change for South Korea," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 160(C), pages 106-117.
    5. Zablon W. Shilenje & Victor Ongoma & Mercy Njagi, 2019. "Applicability of Combined Drought Index in drought analysis over North Eastern Kenya," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 99(1), pages 379-389, October.

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    Keywords

    Drought; Triggers; Policy; Australia; USA;
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