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The Elements of Applied Avalanche Forecasting, Part II: The Physical Issues and the Rules of Applied Avalanche Forecasting

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  • D. McClung

Abstract

This paper (Part II) constitutes the second of a two part series todefine the seven elements of avalanche forecasting. Part I contains the first four elements which are neededto present the human issues. This paper contains the last three elements which deal mostly with thephysical issues and their use in the decision-making process. Some basic rules of applied avalancheforecasting are included here, for the first time, to illustrate physically based principleswhich are used in applied avalanche forecasting and their link to data analysis and decisions.Since the seven elements of applied avalanche forecasting are strongly connected, the reader should consultPart I (this journal issue) as a prelude to the present paper. Part II contains sections about dataand information, scale issues in time and space, decision making and errors and physical rules ofapplied forecasting. Since all seven elements of applied avalanche forecasting are connected, Part II does not stand alone. Copyright Kluwer Academic Publishers 2002

Suggested Citation

  • D. McClung, 2002. "The Elements of Applied Avalanche Forecasting, Part II: The Physical Issues and the Rules of Applied Avalanche Forecasting," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 26(2), pages 131-146, June.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:nathaz:v:26:y:2002:i:2:p:131-146
    DOI: 10.1023/A:1015604600361
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Yee Leung, 1997. "Intelligent Spatial Decision Support Systems," Advances in Spatial Science, Springer, number 978-3-642-60714-1, February.
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    Cited by:

    1. Ariane Chourot & Jean-Philippe Martin, 2018. "Comparison of logistic regressions and snowfall intensity–duration threshold as forecasting tools for direct-action snow avalanches in the Presidential Range, New Hampshire, USA," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 93(3), pages 1649-1656, September.

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