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Multivariate return period for different types of flooding in city of Monza, Italy

Author

Listed:
  • M. Mehdi Bateni

    (Scuola Universitaria Superiore IUSS Pavia)

  • Mario L. V. Martina

    (Scuola Universitaria Superiore IUSS Pavia)

  • ·Marcello Arosio

    (Scuola Universitaria Superiore IUSS Pavia)

Abstract

The return period is a probabilistic criterion used to measure and communicate the random occurrence of geophysical events such as floods in risk assessment studies. Since an individual risk may be strongly affected by the degree of dependence amongst all risks, the need for the provision of multivariate design quantiles has gained ground. Consequently, several recent studies have focused on estimation of multi-hazard risk resulted from different hazard types. In this study, multi-hazard return periods are derived for riverine and pluvial floods in city of Monza, Italy, based on different copula dependence structures. It is shown that ignoring statistical dependence among different inter-correlated hazards may cause significant misestimation of risks.

Suggested Citation

  • M. Mehdi Bateni & Mario L. V. Martina & ·Marcello Arosio, 2022. "Multivariate return period for different types of flooding in city of Monza, Italy," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 114(1), pages 811-823, October.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:nathaz:v:114:y:2022:i:1:d:10.1007_s11069-022-05413-9
    DOI: 10.1007/s11069-022-05413-9
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    References listed on IDEAS

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