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Methodology and challenges of fire following earthquake analysis: an urban community study considering water and transportation networks

Author

Listed:
  • Maxwell Coar

    (Princeton University)

  • Amir Sarreshtehdari

    (State University of New York at Buffalo)

  • Maria Garlock

    (State University of New York at Buffalo)

  • Negar Elhami Khorasani

    (State University of New York at Buffalo)

Abstract

The Pacific Northwest faces the looming threat of a massive 9.0 earthquake coming from the Cascadia Subduction Zone of the Juan de Fuca plate off the coast of Northern California, Oregon, Washington, and British Columbia. City officials, emergency managers, and researchers are preparing for this event by examining not only the earthquake itself, but also the cascading hazards that will follow it, such as fire and tsunami. Additionally, they must measure the effects of these hazards not just on the infrastructure systems they affect (e.g., water, power, transportation, communication, emergency services, etc.) but also how each system is affected by the failure of one or more of the others, or its “dependency.” The following paper discusses the effects of two cascading hazards—earthquake and fire—and the vulnerability of three infrastructure systems—building stock, water, and transportation—with a special focus on the needs of firefighters and other emergency services in the 12 h following a major seismic event. It then frames these methodologies in the context of a fine-grain case study of Seattle downtown and identifies three critical zones where mitigation measures would provide the most benefit. The discussion includes challenges in approaching such studies—the largest being available data, the uncertainties in making these evaluations, and general best practices for increased resilience in urban communities similar to the case study.

Suggested Citation

  • Maxwell Coar & Amir Sarreshtehdari & Maria Garlock & Negar Elhami Khorasani, 2021. "Methodology and challenges of fire following earthquake analysis: an urban community study considering water and transportation networks," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 109(1), pages 1-31, October.
  • Handle: RePEc:spr:nathaz:v:109:y:2021:i:1:d:10.1007_s11069-021-04795-6
    DOI: 10.1007/s11069-021-04795-6
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Zheng He & Negar Elhami Khorasani, 2022. "Identification and hierarchical structure of cause factors for fire following earthquake using data mining and interpretive structural modeling," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 112(1), pages 947-976, May.
    2. Nishino, Tomoaki & Miyashita, Takuya & Mori, Nobuhito, 2024. "Methodology for probabilistic tsunami-triggered oil spill fire hazard assessment based on Natech cascading disaster modeling," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 242(C).
    3. Tomoaki Nishino, 2023. "Probabilistic urban cascading multi-hazard risk assessment methodology for ground shaking and post-earthquake fires," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 116(3), pages 3165-3200, April.

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