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Estimating impacts of recurring flooding on roadway networks: a Norfolk, Virginia case study

Author

Listed:
  • Shraddha Praharaj

    (University of Virginia)

  • T. Donna Chen

    (University of Virginia)

  • Faria T. Zahura

    (University of Virginia)

  • Madhur Behl

    (University of Virginia)

  • Jonathan L. Goodall

    (University of Virginia)

Abstract

Climate change and sea level rise have increased the frequency and severity of flooding events in coastal communities. This study quantifies transportation impacts of recurring flooding using crowdsourced traffic and flood incident data. Agency-provided continuous count station traffic volume data at 12 locations is supplemented by crowd-sourced traffic data from location-based apps in Norfolk, Virginia, to assess the impacts of recurrent flooding on traffic flow. A random forest data predictive model utilizing roadway features, traffic flow characteristics, and hydrological data as inputs scales the spatial extent of traffic volume data from 12 to 7736 roadway segments. Modeling results suggest that between January 2017 and August 2018, City of Norfolk reported flood events reduced 24 h citywide vehicle-hours of travel (VHT) by 3%, on average. To examine the temporal and spatial variation of impacts, crowdsourced flood incident reports collected by navigation app Waze between August 2017 and August 2018 were also analyzed. Modeling results at the local scale show that on weekday afternoon and evening periods, flood-impacted areas experience a statistically significant 7% reduction in VHT and 12% reduction in vehicle-miles traveled, on average. These impacts vary across roadway types, with substantial decline in traffic volumes on freeways, while principal arterials experience increased traffic volumes during flood periods. Results suggest that analyzing recurring flooding at the local scale is more prudent as the impact is temporally and spatially heterogeneous. Furthermore, countermeasures to mitigate impacts require a dynamic strategy that can adapt to conditions across various time periods and at specific locations.

Suggested Citation

  • Shraddha Praharaj & T. Donna Chen & Faria T. Zahura & Madhur Behl & Jonathan L. Goodall, 2021. "Estimating impacts of recurring flooding on roadway networks: a Norfolk, Virginia case study," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 107(3), pages 2363-2387, July.
  • Handle: RePEc:spr:nathaz:v:107:y:2021:i:3:d:10.1007_s11069-020-04427-5
    DOI: 10.1007/s11069-020-04427-5
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. César Ducruet, 2008. "Hub dependence in constrained economies: the case of North Korea," Maritime Policy & Management, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 35(4), pages 377-394, August.
    2. Lars Böcker & Martin Dijst & Jan Prillwitz, 2013. "Impact of Everyday Weather on Individual Daily Travel Behaviours in Perspective: A Literature Review," Transport Reviews, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 33(1), pages 71-91, January.
    3. repec:hal:journl:hal-03247142 is not listed on IDEAS
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    Cited by:

    1. Flavia Ioana Patrascu & Ali Mostafavi, 2024. "Spatial model for predictive recovery monitoring based on hazard, built environment, and population features and their spillover effects," Environment and Planning B, , vol. 51(1), pages 39-56, January.
    2. Borowska-Stefańska, Marta & Bartnik, Adam & Dulebenets, Maxim A. & Kowalski, Michał & Sahebgharani, Alireza & Tomalski, Przemysław & Wiśniewski, Szymon, 2025. "Changes in the equilibrium of the urban transport system of a large city following an urban flood," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 253(C).
    3. Shangjia Dong & Tianbo Yu & Hamed Farahmand & Ali Mostafavi, 2022. "Predictive multi-watershed flood monitoring using deep learning on integrated physical and social sensors data," Environment and Planning B, , vol. 49(7), pages 1838-1856, September.
    4. Jun Zhang & Shenghao Zhao & Chaonan Peng & Xianming Gong, 2022. "Spatial Heterogeneity of the Recovery of Road Traffic Volume from the Impact of COVID-19: Evidence from China," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(21), pages 1-20, November.
    5. A. Bukvic & C. W. Zobel, 2024. "Flood-induced mobility in rural and urban coastal jurisdictions: a homeowner’s perspective," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 177(11), pages 1-23, November.
    6. Songhua Hu & Kailai Wang & Lingyao Li & Yingrui Zhao & Zhenbing He & Yunpeng & Zhang, 2023. "Modeling Link-level Road Traffic Resilience to Extreme Weather Events Using Crowdsourced Data," Papers 2310.14380, arXiv.org.

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