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GIS-based multicriteria evaluation for earthquake response: a case study of expert opinion in Vancouver, Canada

Author

Listed:
  • Blake Byron Walker

    (Friedrich-Alexander-Universität Erlangen-Nürnberg)

  • Nadine Schuurman

    (Simon Fraser University)

  • David Swanlund

    (Simon Fraser University)

  • John J. Clague

    (Simon Fraser University)

Abstract

GIS-based multicriteria evaluation (MCE) provides a framework for analysing complex decision problems by quantifying variables of interest to score potential locations according to their suitability. In the context of earthquake preparedness and post-disaster response, MCE has relied mainly on uninformed or non-expert stakeholders to identify high-risk zones, prioritise areas for response, or highlight vulnerable populations. In this study, we compare uninformed, informed non-expert, and expert stakeholders’ responses in MCE modelling for earthquake response planning in Vancouver, Canada. Using medium- to low-complexity MCE models, we highlight similarities and differences in the importance of infrastructural and socioeconomic variables, emergency services, and liquefaction potential between a non-weighted MCE, a medium-complexity informed non-expert MCE, and a low-complexity MCE informed by 35 local earthquake planning and response experts from governmental and non-governmental organisations. Differences in the observed results underscore the importance of accessible, expert-informed approaches for prioritising locations for earthquake response planning and for the efficient and geographically precise allocation of resources.

Suggested Citation

  • Blake Byron Walker & Nadine Schuurman & David Swanlund & John J. Clague, 2021. "GIS-based multicriteria evaluation for earthquake response: a case study of expert opinion in Vancouver, Canada," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 105(2), pages 2075-2091, January.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:nathaz:v:105:y:2021:i:2:d:10.1007_s11069-020-04390-1
    DOI: 10.1007/s11069-020-04390-1
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. V. Martins & Delta Silva & Pedro Cabral, 2012. "Social vulnerability assessment to seismic risk using multicriteria analysis: the case study of Vila Franca do Campo (São Miguel Island, Azores, Portugal)," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 62(2), pages 385-404, June.
    2. John Clague, 2002. "The Earthquake Threat in Southwestern British Columbia: A Geologic Perspective," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 26(1), pages 7-33, May.
    3. Alexandru Banica & Lucian Rosu & Ionel Muntele & Adrian Grozavu, 2017. "Towards Urban Resilience: A Multi-Criteria Analysis of Seismic Vulnerability in Iasi City (Romania)," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 9(2), pages 1-17, February.
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