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A Recursive Algorithm for Selling at the Ultimate Maximum in Regime-Switching Models

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  • Yue Liu

    (Jiangsu University)

  • Nicolas Privault

    (Nanyang Technological University)

Abstract

We propose a recursive algorithm for the numerical computation of the optimal value function inf t ≤ τ ≤ T 𝔼 sup 0 ≤ s ≤ T Y s / Y τ F t $\inf _{t\le \tau \le T} \mathbb {E} \left [\sup _{0\le s\le T } Y_{s} / Y_{\tau } \left | {\mathcal F}_{t}\right .\right ] $ over the stopping times τ with respect to the filtration of a geometric Brownian motion Y t with Markovian regime switching. This method allows us to determine the boundary functions of the optimal stopping set when no associated Volterra integral equation is available. It applies in particular when regime-switching drifts have mixed signs, in which case the boundary functions may not be monotone.

Suggested Citation

  • Yue Liu & Nicolas Privault, 2018. "A Recursive Algorithm for Selling at the Ultimate Maximum in Regime-Switching Models," Methodology and Computing in Applied Probability, Springer, vol. 20(1), pages 369-384, March.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:metcap:v:20:y:2018:i:1:d:10.1007_s11009-017-9558-3
    DOI: 10.1007/s11009-017-9558-3
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    6. Yue Liu & Nicolas Privault, 2017. "Selling At The Ultimate Maximum In A Regime-Switching Model," International Journal of Theoretical and Applied Finance (IJTAF), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 20(03), pages 1-27, May.
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    Cited by:

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    2. Liu, Yue & Sun, Huaping & Meng, Bo & Jin, Shunlin & Chen, Bin, 2023. "How to purchase carbon emission right optimally for energy-consuming enterprises? Analysis based on optimal stopping model," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 124(C).
    3. Yue Liu & Lixin Tian & Zhuyun Xie & Zaili Zhen & Huaping Sun, 2021. "Option to survive or surrender: carbon asset management and optimization in thermal power enterprises from China," Papers 2104.04729, arXiv.org.
    4. Yue Liu & Aijun Yang & Jijian Zhang & Jingjing Yao, 2020. "An Optimal Stopping Problem of Detecting Entry Points for Trading Modeled by Geometric Brownian Motion," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 55(3), pages 827-843, March.
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    6. Liu, Yue & Tian, Lixin & Sun, Huaping & Zhang, Xiling & Kong, Chuimin, 2022. "Option pricing of carbon asset and its application in digital decision-making of carbon asset," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 310(C).
    7. Yue Liu & Nicolas Privault, 2017. "Selling At The Ultimate Maximum In A Regime-Switching Model," International Journal of Theoretical and Applied Finance (IJTAF), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 20(03), pages 1-27, May.

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