Modeling the Commodity Prices of Base Metals in Indian Commodity Market Using a Higher Order Markovian Approach
Author
Abstract
Suggested Citation
DOI: 10.1007/s40953-021-00258-8
Download full text from publisher
As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to look for a different version below or search for a different version of it.
Other versions of this item:
- Suryadeepto Nag & Sankarshan Basu & Siddhartha P. Chakrabarty, 2020. "Modeling the commodity prices of base metals in Indian commodity market using a Higher Order Markovian Approach," Papers 2010.03350, arXiv.org.
References listed on IDEAS
- Eduardo Schwartz & James E. Smith, 2000. "Short-Term Variations and Long-Term Dynamics in Commodity Prices," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 46(7), pages 893-911, July.
- Wai Ki Ching & Eric S. Fung & Michael K. Ng, 2004. "Higher‐order Markov chain models for categorical data sequences," Naval Research Logistics (NRL), John Wiley & Sons, vol. 51(4), pages 557-574, June.
- Chad E. Hart & Sergio H. Lence & Dermot J. Hayes & Na Jin, 2016.
"Price Mean Reversion, Seasonality, and Options Markets,"
American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 98(3), pages 707-725.
- Hart, Chad & Lence, Sergio H & Hayes, Dermot J. & Jin, Na, 2015. "Price Mean Reversion, Seasonality, and Options Markets," ISU General Staff Papers 201501010800001065, Iowa State University, Department of Economics.
- Hart, Chad & Lence, Sergio H & Hayes, Dermot J. & Jin, Na, 2015. "Price Mean Reversion, Seasonality, and Options Markets," ISU General Staff Papers 201508170700001577, Iowa State University, Department of Economics.
- Schwartz, Eduardo S, 1997. "The Stochastic Behavior of Commodity Prices: Implications for Valuation and Hedging," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 52(3), pages 923-973, July.
- Ali, Mohsin & Alam, Nafis & Rizvi, Syed Aun R., 2020. "Coronavirus (COVID-19) — An epidemic or pandemic for financial markets," Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Finance, Elsevier, vol. 27(C).
- Wai-Ki Ching & Michael K. Ng, 2006. "Markov Chains: Models, Algorithms and Applications," International Series in Operations Research and Management Science, Springer, number 978-0-387-29337-0, April.
- Jean-Thomas Bernard & Lynda Khalaf & Maral Kichian & Sebastien Mcmahon, 2008.
"Forecasting commodity prices: GARCH, jumps, and mean reversion,"
Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 27(4), pages 279-291.
- Jean-Thomas Bernard & Lynda Khalaf & Maral Kichian & Sebastien McMahon, 2006. "Forecasting Commodity Prices: GARCH, Jumps, and Mean Reversion," Staff Working Papers 06-14, Bank of Canada.
- Hilliard, Jimmy E. & Reis, Jorge, 1998. "Valuation of Commodity Futures and Options under Stochastic Convenience Yields, Interest Rates, and Jump Diffusions in the Spot," Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, Cambridge University Press, vol. 33(1), pages 61-86, March.
Citations
Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
Cited by:
- Chia‐Hsien Tang & Yen‐Hsien Lee & Hung‐Chun Liu & Guan‐Gzhe Zeng, 2024. "Exploring the unpredictable nature of climate policy uncertainty: An empirical analysis of its impact on commodity futures returns in the United States," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 44(7), pages 1277-1292, July.
Most related items
These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.- Moreno, Manuel & Novales, Alfonso & Platania, Federico, 2019.
"Long-term swings and seasonality in energy markets,"
European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 279(3), pages 1011-1023.
- Manuel Moreno & Alfonso Novales & Federico Platania, 2019. "Long-term swings and seasonality in energy markets," Documentos de Trabajo del ICAE 2019-29, Universidad Complutense de Madrid, Facultad de Ciencias Económicas y Empresariales, Instituto Complutense de Análisis Económico.
- Björn Lutz, 2010. "Pricing of Derivatives on Mean-Reverting Assets," Lecture Notes in Economics and Mathematical Systems, Springer, number 978-3-642-02909-7, September.
- Max F. Schöne & Stefan Spinler, 2017. "A four-factor stochastic volatility model of commodity prices," Review of Derivatives Research, Springer, vol. 20(2), pages 135-165, July.
- Na Jin & Sergio Lence & Chad Hart & Dermot Hayes, 2012.
"The Long-Term Structure of Commodity Futures,"
American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 94(3), pages 718-735.
- Jin, Na & Lence, Sergio H & Hart, Chad & Hayes, Dermot J., 2012. "The Long-Term Structure of Commodity Futures," ISU General Staff Papers 201201010800001071, Iowa State University, Department of Economics.
- Jin, Na & Lence, Sergio H. & Hart, Chad E. & Hayes, Dermot J., 2012. "The Long-Term Structure of Commodity Futures," Staff General Research Papers Archive 34992, Iowa State University, Department of Economics.
- Richter, Martin & Sørensen, Carsten, 2002. "Stochastic Volatility and Seasonality in Commodity Futures and Options: The Case of Soybeans," Working Papers 2002-4, Copenhagen Business School, Department of Finance.
- Gareth William Peters & Mark Briers & Pavel Shevchenko & Arnaud Doucet, 2013. "Calibration and Filtering for Multi Factor Commodity Models with Seasonality: Incorporating Panel Data from Futures Contracts," Methodology and Computing in Applied Probability, Springer, vol. 15(4), pages 841-874, December.
- Wolfgang Bühler & Olaf Korn & Rainer Schöbel, 2005. "Hedging Long-Term Forwards with Short-Term Futures: A Two-Regime Approach," Review of Derivatives Research, Springer, vol. 7(3), pages 185-212, October.
- Dannenberg, Henry & Ehrenfeld, Wilfried, 2010. "Stochastic Income Statement Planning and Emissions Trading," IWH Discussion Papers 4/2010, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH).
- Chevallier, Julien & Ielpo, Florian, 2017. "Investigating the leverage effect in commodity markets with a recursive estimation approach," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 39(PB), pages 763-778.
- Ioannis Kyriakou & Nikos K. Nomikos & Nikos C. Papapostolou & Panos K. Pouliasis, 2016. "Affine†Structure Models and the Pricing of Energy Commodity Derivatives," European Financial Management, European Financial Management Association, vol. 22(5), pages 853-881, November.
- Cheng, Benjamin & Nikitopoulos, Christina Sklibosios & Schlögl, Erik, 2018. "Pricing of long-dated commodity derivatives: Do stochastic interest rates matter?," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 95(C), pages 148-166.
- Gonzalo Cortazar & Simon Gutierrez & Hector Ortega, 2016. "Empirical Performance of Commodity Pricing Models: When is it Worthwhile to Use a Stochastic Volatility Specification?," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 36(5), pages 457-487, May.
- Ke Du, 2013. "Commodity Derivative Pricing Under the Benchmark Approach," PhD Thesis, Finance Discipline Group, UTS Business School, University of Technology, Sydney, number 2, July-Dece.
- Xiaoying Huang, 2017. "A Double-Exponential Jump model and its application to risk measure in Wheat spot market," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 37(2), pages 1298-1309.
- Dempster, M.A.H. & Medova, Elena & Tang, Ke, 2018. "Latent jump diffusion factor estimation for commodity futures," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 9(C), pages 35-54.
- Zonggang Ma & Chaoqun Ma & Zhijian Wu, 2022. "Pricing commodity-linked bonds with stochastic convenience yield, interest rate and counterparty credit risk: application of Mellin transform methods," Review of Derivatives Research, Springer, vol. 25(1), pages 47-91, April.
- repec:ipg:wpaper:2014-565 is not listed on IDEAS
- Back, Janis & Prokopczuk, Marcel & Rudolf, Markus, 2013.
"Seasonality and the valuation of commodity options,"
Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 37(2), pages 273-290.
- Janis Back & Marcel Prokopczuk & Markus Rudolf, 2010. "Seasonality and the Valuation of Commodity Options," ICMA Centre Discussion Papers in Finance icma-dp2010-08, Henley Business School, University of Reading.
- Sévi, Benoît, 2015.
"Explaining the convenience yield in the WTI crude oil market using realized volatility and jumps,"
Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 44(C), pages 243-251.
- Benoît Sévi, 2014. "Explaining the convenience yield in the WTI crude oil market using realized volatility and jumps," Working Papers 2014-602, Department of Research, Ipag Business School.
- Cortazar, Gonzalo & Lopez, Matias & Naranjo, Lorenzo, 2017. "A multifactor stochastic volatility model of commodity prices," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 67(C), pages 182-201.
- Postali, Fernando A.S. & Picchetti, Paulo, 2006. "Geometric Brownian Motion and structural breaks in oil prices: A quantitative analysis," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 28(4), pages 506-522, July.
More about this item
Keywords
Commodity prices; Copper mini; Higher order Markovian; Estimation;All these keywords.
JEL classification:
- C6 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Mathematical Methods; Programming Models; Mathematical and Simulation Modeling
- C8 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Data Collection and Data Estimation Methodology; Computer Programs
Statistics
Access and download statisticsCorrections
All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:spr:jqecon:v:20:y:2022:i:1:d:10.1007_s40953-021-00258-8. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.
If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.
If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .
If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.
For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Sonal Shukla or Springer Nature Abstracting and Indexing (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.springer.com .
Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.