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Positive Reinforced Generalized Time-Dependent Pólya Urns via Stochastic Approximation

Author

Listed:
  • Wioletta M. Ruszel

    (Utrecht University)

  • Debleena Thacker

    (Durham University)

Abstract

Consider a generalized time-dependent Pólya urn process defined as follows. Let $$d\in \mathbb {N}$$ d ∈ N be the number of urns/colors. At each time n, we distribute $$\sigma _n$$ σ n balls randomly to the d urns, proportionally to f, where f is a valid reinforcement function. We consider a general class of positive reinforcement functions $$\mathcal {R}$$ R assuming some monotonicity and growth condition. The class $$\mathcal {R}$$ R includes convex functions and the classical case $$f(x)=x^{\alpha }$$ f ( x ) = x α , $$\alpha >1$$ α > 1 . The novelty of the paper lies in extending stochastic approximation techniques to the d-dimensional case and proving that eventually the process will fixate at some random urn and the other urns will not receive any balls anymore.

Suggested Citation

  • Wioletta M. Ruszel & Debleena Thacker, 2024. "Positive Reinforced Generalized Time-Dependent Pólya Urns via Stochastic Approximation," Journal of Theoretical Probability, Springer, vol. 37(4), pages 2859-2885, November.
  • Handle: RePEc:spr:jotpro:v:37:y:2024:i:4:d:10.1007_s10959-024-01366-w
    DOI: 10.1007/s10959-024-01366-w
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Roc Armenter & Mikl?s Koren, 2014. "A Balls-and-Bins Model of Trade," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 104(7), pages 2127-2151, July.
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    3. Bai, Z. D. & Hu, Feifang, 1999. "Asymptotic theorems for urn models with nonhomogeneous generating matrices," Stochastic Processes and their Applications, Elsevier, vol. 80(1), pages 87-101, March.
    4. Huimin Shi & Zheng Jiang, 2016. "The missing trade of China: balls-and-bins model," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 50(4), pages 1511-1526, June.
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