IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/spr/joinma/v34y2023i1d10.1007_s10845-022-02026-8.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Investigation and machine learning-based prediction of parametric effects of single point incremental forming on pillow effect and wall profile of AlMn1Mg1 aluminum alloy sheets

Author

Listed:
  • Sherwan Mohammed Najm

    (Budapest University of Technology and Economics
    Northern Technical University)

  • Imre Paniti

    (Budapest University of Technology and Economics
    Institute for Computer Science and Control (SZTAKI)
    Széchenyi István University)

Abstract

Today the topic of incremental sheet forming (ISF) is one of the most active areas of sheet metal forming research. ISF can be an essential alternative to conventional sheet forming for prototypes or non-mass products. Single point incremental forming (SPIF) is one of the most innovative and widely used fields in ISF with the potential to form sheet products. The formed components by SPIF lack geometric accuracy, which is one of the obstacles that prevents SPIF from being adopted as a sheet forming process in the industry. Pillow effect and wall displacement are influential contributors to manufacturing defects. Thus, optimal process parameters should be selected to produce a SPIF component with sufficient quality and without defects. In this context, this study presents an insight into the effects of the different materials and shapes of forming tools, tool head diameters, tool corner radiuses, and tool surface roughness (Ra and Rz). The studied factors include the pillow effect and wall diameter of SPIF components of AlMn1Mg1 aluminum alloy blank sheets. In order to produce a well-established study of process parameters, in the scope of this paper different modeling tools were used to predict the outcomes of the process. For that purpose, actual data collected from 108 experimentally formed parts under different process conditions of SPIF were used. Neuron by Neuron (NBN), Gradient Boosting Regression (GBR), CatBoost, and two different structures of Multilayer Perceptron were used and analyzed for studying the effect of parameters on the factors under scrutiny. Different validation metrics were adopted to determine the quality of each model and to predict the impact of the pillow effect and wall diameter. For the calculation of the pillow effect and wall diameter, two equations were developed based on the research parameters. As opposed to the experimental approach, analytical equations help researchers to estimate results values relatively speedily and in a feasible way. Different partitioning weight methods have been used to determine the relative importance (RI) and individual feature importance of SPIF parameters for the expected pillow effect and wall diameter. A close relationship has been identified to exist between the actual and predicted results. For the first time in the field of incremental forming study, through the construction of Catboost models, SHapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP) was used to ascertain the impact of individual parameters on pillow effect and wall diameter predictions. CatBoost was able to predict the wall diameter with R2 values between the range of 0.9714 and 0.8947 in the case of the training and testing dataset, and between the range of 0.6062 and 0.6406 when predicting pillow effect. It was discovered that, depending on different validation metrics, the Levenberg–Marquardt training algorithm performed the most effectively in predicting the wall diameter and pillow effect with R2 values in the range of 0.9645 and 0.9082 for wall diameter and in the range of 0.7506 and 0.7129 in the case of the pillow effect. NBN has no results worthy of mentioning, and GBR yields good prediction only of the wall diameter.

Suggested Citation

  • Sherwan Mohammed Najm & Imre Paniti, 2023. "Investigation and machine learning-based prediction of parametric effects of single point incremental forming on pillow effect and wall profile of AlMn1Mg1 aluminum alloy sheets," Journal of Intelligent Manufacturing, Springer, vol. 34(1), pages 331-367, January.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:joinma:v:34:y:2023:i:1:d:10.1007_s10845-022-02026-8
    DOI: 10.1007/s10845-022-02026-8
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://link.springer.com/10.1007/s10845-022-02026-8
    File Function: Abstract
    Download Restriction: Access to the full text of the articles in this series is restricted.
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1007/s10845-022-02026-8?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Christoph Hartmann & Daniel Opritescu & Wolfram Volk, 2019. "An artificial neural network approach for tool path generation in incremental sheet metal free-forming," Journal of Intelligent Manufacturing, Springer, vol. 30(2), pages 757-770, February.
    2. Zhang, Guoqiang & Eddy Patuwo, B. & Y. Hu, Michael, 1998. "Forecasting with artificial neural networks:: The state of the art," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 14(1), pages 35-62, March.
    3. Sebastian Bach & Alexander Binder & Grégoire Montavon & Frederick Klauschen & Klaus-Robert Müller & Wojciech Samek, 2015. "On Pixel-Wise Explanations for Non-Linear Classifier Decisions by Layer-Wise Relevance Propagation," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 10(7), pages 1-46, July.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Pengfei Wang & Jinkun Deng & Xu Li & Changchun Hua & Lihong Su & Guanyu Deng, 2024. "A novel strategy based on machine learning of selective cooling control of work roll for improvement of cold rolled strip flatness," Journal of Intelligent Manufacturing, Springer, vol. 35(7), pages 3559-3576, October.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Parmar, Janak & Das, Pritikana & Dave, Sanjaykumar M., 2021. "A machine learning approach for modelling parking duration in urban land-use," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 572(C).
    2. Balkin, Sandy, 2001. "On Forecasting Exchange Rates Using Neural Networks: P.H. Franses and P.V. Homelen, 1998, Applied Financial Economics, 8, 589-596," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 17(1), pages 139-140.
    3. Barrow, Devon & Kourentzes, Nikolaos, 2018. "The impact of special days in call arrivals forecasting: A neural network approach to modelling special days," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 264(3), pages 967-977.
    4. Daniel Buncic, 2012. "Understanding forecast failure of ESTAR models of real exchange rates," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 43(1), pages 399-426, August.
    5. Apostolos Ampountolas & Titus Nyarko Nde & Paresh Date & Corina Constantinescu, 2021. "A Machine Learning Approach for Micro-Credit Scoring," Risks, MDPI, vol. 9(3), pages 1-20, March.
    6. Peng Zhu & Yuante Li & Yifan Hu & Qinyuan Liu & Dawei Cheng & Yuqi Liang, 2024. "LSR-IGRU: Stock Trend Prediction Based on Long Short-Term Relationships and Improved GRU," Papers 2409.08282, arXiv.org, revised Sep 2024.
    7. Ebrahimpour, Reza & Nikoo, Hossein & Masoudnia, Saeed & Yousefi, Mohammad Reza & Ghaemi, Mohammad Sajjad, 2011. "Mixture of MLP-experts for trend forecasting of time series: A case study of the Tehran stock exchange," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 27(3), pages 804-816, July.
    8. Hewamalage, Hansika & Bergmeir, Christoph & Bandara, Kasun, 2021. "Recurrent Neural Networks for Time Series Forecasting: Current status and future directions," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 37(1), pages 388-427.
    9. Leung, Philip C.M. & Lee, Eric W.M., 2013. "Estimation of electrical power consumption in subway station design by intelligent approach," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 101(C), pages 634-643.
    10. Donya Rahmani & Saeed Heravi & Hossein Hassani & Mansi Ghodsi, 2016. "Forecasting time series with structural breaks with Singular Spectrum Analysis, using a general form of recurrent formula," Papers 1605.02188, arXiv.org.
    11. Wei Sun & Yujun He & Hong Chang, 2015. "Forecasting Fossil Fuel Energy Consumption for Power Generation Using QHSA-Based LSSVM Model," Energies, MDPI, vol. 8(2), pages 1-21, January.
    12. Saman, Corina, 2011. "Scenarios of the Romanian GDP Evolution With Neural Models," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, vol. 0(4), pages 129-140, December.
    13. Ghiassi, M. & Saidane, H. & Zimbra, D.K., 2005. "A dynamic artificial neural network model for forecasting time series events," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 21(2), pages 341-362.
    14. Barrow, Devon K., 2016. "Forecasting intraday call arrivals using the seasonal moving average method," Journal of Business Research, Elsevier, vol. 69(12), pages 6088-6096.
    15. Jani, D.B. & Mishra, Manish & Sahoo, P.K., 2017. "Application of artificial neural network for predicting performance of solid desiccant cooling systems – A review," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 80(C), pages 352-366.
    16. Oscar Claveria & Salvador Torra, 2013. "“Forecasting Business surveys indicators: neural networks vs. time series models”," AQR Working Papers 201312, University of Barcelona, Regional Quantitative Analysis Group, revised Nov 2013.
    17. Bento, P.M.R. & Pombo, J.A.N. & Calado, M.R.A. & Mariano, S.J.P.S., 2018. "A bat optimized neural network and wavelet transform approach for short-term price forecasting," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 210(C), pages 88-97.
    18. Nataša Glišović & Miloš Milenković & Nebojša Bojović & Libor Švadlenka & Zoran Avramović, 2016. "A hybrid model for forecasting the volume of passenger flows on Serbian railways," Operational Research, Springer, vol. 16(2), pages 271-285, July.
    19. Timothy Praditia & Thilo Walser & Sergey Oladyshkin & Wolfgang Nowak, 2020. "Improving Thermochemical Energy Storage Dynamics Forecast with Physics-Inspired Neural Network Architecture," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(15), pages 1-26, July.
    20. Ata, Rasit, 2015. "Artificial neural networks applications in wind energy systems: a review," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 49(C), pages 534-562.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:spr:joinma:v:34:y:2023:i:1:d:10.1007_s10845-022-02026-8. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Sonal Shukla or Springer Nature Abstracting and Indexing (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.springer.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.