IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/spr/jglopt/v71y2018i4d10.1007_s10898-018-0615-4.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Surrogate-based feasibility analysis for black-box stochastic simulations with heteroscedastic noise

Author

Listed:
  • Zilong Wang

    (Rutgers – The State University of New Jersey)

  • Marianthi Ierapetritou

    (Rutgers – The State University of New Jersey)

Abstract

Feasibility analysis has been developed to evaluate and quantify the capability that a process can remain feasible under uncertainty of model inputs and parameters. It can be conducted during the design stage when the objective is to get a robust design which can tolerate a certain amount of variations in the process conditions. Also, it can be used after a design is fixed when the objective is to characterize its feasible region. In this work, we have extended the usage of feasibility analysis to the cases in which inherent stochasticity is existent in the model outputs. With a surrogate-based adaptive sampling framework, we have developed and compared three algorithms that are promising to make accurate predictions on the feasible regions with a limited sampling budget. Both the advantages and limitations are discussed based on the results from five benchmark problems. Finally, we apply such methods to a pharmaceutical manufacturing process and demonstrate its potential application in characterizing the design space of the process.

Suggested Citation

  • Zilong Wang & Marianthi Ierapetritou, 2018. "Surrogate-based feasibility analysis for black-box stochastic simulations with heteroscedastic noise," Journal of Global Optimization, Springer, vol. 71(4), pages 957-985, August.
  • Handle: RePEc:spr:jglopt:v:71:y:2018:i:4:d:10.1007_s10898-018-0615-4
    DOI: 10.1007/s10898-018-0615-4
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://link.springer.com/10.1007/s10898-018-0615-4
    File Function: Abstract
    Download Restriction: Access to the full text of the articles in this series is restricted.

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1007/s10898-018-0615-4?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Chen, Xi & Zhou, Qiang, 2017. "Sequential design strategies for mean response surface metamodeling via stochastic kriging with adaptive exploration and exploitation," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 262(2), pages 575-585.
    2. Jalali, Hamed & Van Nieuwenhuyse, Inneke & Picheny, Victor, 2017. "Comparison of Kriging-based algorithms for simulation optimization with heterogeneous noise," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 261(1), pages 279-301.
    3. D. Huang & T. Allen & W. Notz & N. Zeng, 2006. "Global Optimization of Stochastic Black-Box Systems via Sequential Kriging Meta-Models," Journal of Global Optimization, Springer, vol. 34(3), pages 441-466, March.
    4. Sharifzadeh, Mahdi & Meghdari, Mojtaba & Rashtchian, Davood, 2017. "Multi-objective design and operation of Solid Oxide Fuel Cell (SOFC) Triple Combined-cycle Power Generation systems: Integrating energy efficiency and operational safety," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 185(P1), pages 345-361.
    5. Bruce Ankenman & Barry L. Nelson & Jeremy Staum, 2010. "Stochastic Kriging for Simulation Metamodeling," Operations Research, INFORMS, vol. 58(2), pages 371-382, April.
    6. Kleijnen, Jack P.C., 2009. "Kriging metamodeling in simulation: A review," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 192(3), pages 707-716, February.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Songhao Wang & Szu Hui Ng & William Benjamin Haskell, 2022. "A Multilevel Simulation Optimization Approach for Quantile Functions," INFORMS Journal on Computing, INFORMS, vol. 34(1), pages 569-585, January.
    2. Xuefei Lu & Alessandro Rudi & Emanuele Borgonovo & Lorenzo Rosasco, 2020. "Faster Kriging: Facing High-Dimensional Simulators," Operations Research, INFORMS, vol. 68(1), pages 233-249, January.
    3. Rodriguez, Sergio & Ludkovski, Michael, 2020. "Probabilistic bisection with spatial metamodels," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 286(2), pages 588-603.
    4. Dawei Zhan & Huanlai Xing, 2020. "Expected improvement for expensive optimization: a review," Journal of Global Optimization, Springer, vol. 78(3), pages 507-544, November.
    5. Pedrielli, Giulia & Wang, Songhao & Ng, Szu Hui, 2020. "An extended Two-Stage Sequential Optimization approach: Properties and performance," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 287(3), pages 929-945.
    6. Jalali, Hamed & Van Nieuwenhuyse, Inneke & Picheny, Victor, 2017. "Comparison of Kriging-based algorithms for simulation optimization with heterogeneous noise," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 261(1), pages 279-301.
    7. Qun Meng & Songhao Wang & Szu Hui Ng, 2022. "Combined Global and Local Search for Optimization with Gaussian Process Models," INFORMS Journal on Computing, INFORMS, vol. 34(1), pages 622-637, January.
    8. Rojas Gonzalez, Sebastian & Jalali, Hamed & Van Nieuwenhuyse, Inneke, 2020. "A multiobjective stochastic simulation optimization algorithm," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 284(1), pages 212-226.
    9. Ehsan Mehdad & Jack P. C. Kleijnen, 2018. "Efficient global optimisation for black-box simulation via sequential intrinsic Kriging," Journal of the Operational Research Society, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 69(11), pages 1725-1737, November.
    10. Mehdad, E. & Kleijnen, Jack P.C., 2014. "Classic Kriging versus Kriging with Bootstrapping or Conditional Simulation : Classic Kriging's Robust Confidence Intervals and Optimization (Revised version of CentER DP 2013-038)," Other publications TiSEM 4915047b-afe4-4fc7-8a1c-4, Tilburg University, School of Economics and Management.
    11. Mehdad, E. & Kleijnen, Jack P.C., 2014. "Global Optimization for Black-box Simulation via Sequential Intrinsic Kriging," Other publications TiSEM 8fa8d96f-a086-4c4b-88ab-9, Tilburg University, School of Economics and Management.
    12. Peter Frazier & Warren Powell & Savas Dayanik, 2009. "The Knowledge-Gradient Policy for Correlated Normal Beliefs," INFORMS Journal on Computing, INFORMS, vol. 21(4), pages 599-613, November.
    13. Kleijnen, Jack P.C., 2017. "Regression and Kriging metamodels with their experimental designs in simulation: A review," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 256(1), pages 1-16.
    14. Cheng Li & Siyang Gao & Jianzhong Du, 2023. "Convergence Analysis of Stochastic Kriging-Assisted Simulation with Random Covariates," INFORMS Journal on Computing, INFORMS, vol. 35(2), pages 386-402, March.
    15. J P C Kleijnen & W C M van Beers, 2013. "Monotonicity-preserving bootstrapped Kriging metamodels for expensive simulations," Journal of the Operational Research Society, Palgrave Macmillan;The OR Society, vol. 64(5), pages 708-717, May.
    16. Satyajith Amaran & Nikolaos V. Sahinidis & Bikram Sharda & Scott J. Bury, 2016. "Simulation optimization: a review of algorithms and applications," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 240(1), pages 351-380, May.
    17. Fu, Quanlu & Wu, Jiyan & Wu, Xuemian & Sun, Jian & Tian, Ye, 2024. "Managing network congestion with link-based incentives: A surrogate-based optimization approach," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 182(C).
    18. Scott L. Rosen & Christopher P. Saunders & Samar K Guharay, 2015. "A Structured Approach for Rapidly Mapping Multilevel System Measures via Simulation Metamodeling," Systems Engineering, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 18(1), pages 87-101, January.
    19. Bing Wang & Jiaqiao Hu, 2018. "Some Monotonicity Results for Stochastic Kriging Metamodels in Sequential Settings," INFORMS Journal on Computing, INFORMS, vol. 30(2), pages 278-294, May.
    20. Kleijnen, Jack P.C., 2013. "Simulation-Optimization via Kriging and Bootstrapping : A Survey (Revision of CentER DP 2011-064)," Other publications TiSEM 6ac4e049-ad86-447f-aeec-a, Tilburg University, School of Economics and Management.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:spr:jglopt:v:71:y:2018:i:4:d:10.1007_s10898-018-0615-4. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Sonal Shukla or Springer Nature Abstracting and Indexing (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.springer.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.