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The reversal of large stock price declines: The case of large firms

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  • Georgina Benou
  • Nivine Richie

Abstract

This paper examines the long-run reversal pattern for a sample of large U.S. firms that experienced significant stock price declines of more than 20 percent during a specific month. The results from the analysis are largely consistent with the overreaction hypothesis and significantly greater in magnitude than those reported by previous studies. Six and 12 months after their initial price decline, the stocks of large firms earn approximately 4 and 12 percent in excess of what was expected, respectively. However, the magnitude and trend of that reversal differs substantially across industries. Technology stocks experience the largest and strongest reversal pattern followed by manufacturing stocks, while service industry stocks exhibit a clear downward drift that lasts up to three years and can be described as investorunderreaction to the large price drop. Copyright Academy of Economics and Finance 2003

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  • Georgina Benou & Nivine Richie, 2003. "The reversal of large stock price declines: The case of large firms," Journal of Economics and Finance, Springer;Academy of Economics and Finance, vol. 27(1), pages 19-38, March.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:jecfin:v:27:y:2003:i:1:p:19-38
    DOI: 10.1007/BF02751588
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    2. Ising, Jan & Schiereck, Dirk & Simpson, Marc W. & Thomas, Thomas W., 2006. "Stock returns following large 1-month declines and jumps: Evidence of overoptimism in the German market," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 46(4), pages 598-619, September.
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    5. Farag, Hisham, 2015. "The influence of price limits on overreaction in emerging markets: Evidence from the Egyptian stock market," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 58(C), pages 190-199.
    6. Kiesel, F., 2016. "The effect of credit and rating events on credit default swap and equity markets," Publications of Darmstadt Technical University, Institute for Business Studies (BWL) 81247, Darmstadt Technical University, Department of Business Administration, Economics and Law, Institute for Business Studies (BWL).
    7. Vinicius Ratton Brandi, 2020. "Short-Term Predictability of Stock Market Indexes following Large Drawdowns and Drawups," Working Papers Series 529, Central Bank of Brazil, Research Department.
    8. Hisham Farag & Robert Cressy, 2010. "Do unobservable factors explain the disposition effect in emerging stock markets?," Applied Financial Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 20(15), pages 1173-1183.
    9. Corbet, Shaen & Goodell, John W., 2022. "The reputational contagion effects of ransomware attacks," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 47(PB).
    10. Boubaker, Sabri & Farag, Hisham & Nguyen, Duc Khuong, 2015. "Short-term overreaction to specific events: Evidence from an emerging market," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 35(C), pages 153-165.
    11. Robert Cressy & Hisham Farag, 2011. "Do size and unobservable company factors explain stock price reversals?," Journal of Economics and Finance, Springer;Academy of Economics and Finance, vol. 35(1), pages 1-21, January.
    12. Amini, Shima & Gebka, Bartosz & Hudson, Robert & Keasey, Kevin, 2013. "A review of the international literature on the short term predictability of stock prices conditional on large prior price changes: Microstructure, behavioral and risk related explanations," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 26(C), pages 1-17.
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    14. Srikanth Parthasarathy & Kannadas Sendilvelu, 2022. "On Stock Return Patterns Following Large Monthly Price Movements: Empirical Evidence from India," Economic Thought journal, Bulgarian Academy of Sciences - Economic Research Institute, issue 3, pages 249-268.
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    16. Kiesel, Florian, 2016. "The effect of credit and rating events on credit default swap and equity markets," Publications of Darmstadt Technical University, Institute for Business Studies (BWL) 81265, Darmstadt Technical University, Department of Business Administration, Economics and Law, Institute for Business Studies (BWL).
    17. Hisham Farag, 2015. "Long-term Overreaction, Regulatory Policies and Stock Market Anomalies: Evidence from Egypt," Journal of Emerging Market Finance, Institute for Financial Management and Research, vol. 14(2), pages 112-139, August.

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