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Crime, unemployment, and xenophobia?

Author

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  • Martin Steininger
  • Ralph Rotte

Abstract

Die vorliegende Studie identifiziert durch die ökonometrische Auswertung eines selbsterstellten neuen Datensatzes auf Stadtteilebene die Auswirkungen von Zuwanderung, Kriminalität und sozio-ökonomischer Deprivation auf die Ergebnisse von rechtsextremistischen und populistischen Parteien im Bundesland Hamburg über einen Zeitraum von zwei Jahrzehnten (1986–2005). Die Resultate der “ökologischen Analyse” rechtsextremen und populistischen Wahlverhaltens werden zum einen mit jenen dem politischen Mainstream zugehörigen und weiteren Protestparteien verglichen, zum anderen werden die Gemeinsamkeiten und Unterschiede in den räumlichen Faktoren identifiziert. Unsere empirischen Ergebnisse tendieren dazu, die allgemeinen kontextabhängigen soziologischen Theorien rechtsextremistischer Radikalisierung bei vorherrschender sozialen Deprivation und Zuwanderung zu bestätigen. Nichtsdestoweniger weisen sie darauf hin, dass die Verknüpfung Arbeitslosigkeit/Kriminalität mit rechtsextremen Wahlverhalten mit Vorsicht zu verwenden ist: Kriminalität spielt zwar für die Programme und Programmatik der rechtsextremen und populistischen Parteien eine bedeutende Rolle, für den Wahlerfolg kann kein nennenswerter statistisch signifikanter Zusammenhang festgestellt werden. Copyright Springer-Verlag 2009

Suggested Citation

  • Martin Steininger & Ralph Rotte, 2009. "Crime, unemployment, and xenophobia?," Review of Regional Research: Jahrbuch für Regionalwissenschaft, Springer;Gesellschaft für Regionalforschung (GfR), vol. 29(1), pages 29-63, February.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:jahrfr:v:29:y:2009:i:1:p:29-63
    DOI: 10.1007/s10037-008-0032-0
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Nannestad, Peter & Paldam, Martin, 1994. "The VP-Function: A Survey of the Literature on Vote and Popularity Functions after 25 Years," Public Choice, Springer, vol. 79(3-4), pages 213-245, June.
    2. Jackman, Robert W. & Volpert, Karin, 1996. "Conditions Favouring Parties of the Extreme Right in Western Europe," British Journal of Political Science, Cambridge University Press, vol. 26(4), pages 501-521, October.
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    Cited by:

    1. Eugenio Levi & Rama Dasi Mariani & Fabrizio Patriarca, 2020. "Hate at first sight? Dynamic aspects of the electoral impact of migration: the case of Ukip," Journal of Population Economics, Springer;European Society for Population Economics, vol. 33(1), pages 1-32, January.
    2. Jakub Grossmann & Stepan Jurajda, 2023. "Voting under Debtor Distress," CERGE-EI Working Papers wp744, The Center for Economic Research and Graduate Education - Economics Institute, Prague.
    3. Otto, Alkis Henri & Steinhardt, Max Friedrich, 2014. "Immigration and election outcomes — Evidence from city districts in Hamburg," Regional Science and Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 45(C), pages 67-79.
    4. Recep Gulmez, 2019. "The Securitization of the Syrian Refugee Crisis Through Political Party Discourses," Journal of International Migration and Integration, Springer, vol. 20(3), pages 887-906, August.

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