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Advances in Drama Theory for Managing Global Hazards and Disasters. Part II: Coping with Global Climate Change and Environmental Catastrophe

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  • Jason K. Levy

    (Virginia Commonwealth University)

  • Keith W. Hipel

    (University of Waterloo)

  • N. Howard

    (Sheffield Hallam University)

Abstract

We explore issues of group decision making for reducing global environmental risk, with particular reference to the political dynamics surrounding international agreements on tackling climate change. Continuing political delays in deciding to reduce greenhouse gas emissions may make it necessary to resort to high risk and controversial geo-engineering solutions, such as injecting large amounts of sulfur dioxide into the stratosphere, despite the unforeseen, potentially catastrophic consequences that these entail. Advances in drama theory (dt.2) are used to analyze the prospects for agreement on reducing or stabilizing greenhouse gas emissions, following the Bali agreement of December 2007. It is concluded that Western nations and emerging economies are behaving like players in a game of “chicken”, each expecting the other to take on the main burden of emissions reduction. We judge it unlikely that either will play a full part until it is too late for emissions reduction alone to avert environmental catastrophe. At that point, parties will resort to geo-engineering “fixes”, despite the risks. However, all such forecasts are conditional on decisions made and attitudes taken by political leaders and the public. Our analysis serves to pinpoint the relevant decisions and attitudes.

Suggested Citation

  • Jason K. Levy & Keith W. Hipel & N. Howard, 2009. "Advances in Drama Theory for Managing Global Hazards and Disasters. Part II: Coping with Global Climate Change and Environmental Catastrophe," Group Decision and Negotiation, Springer, vol. 18(4), pages 317-334, July.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:grdene:v:18:y:2009:i:4:d:10.1007_s10726-008-9144-8
    DOI: 10.1007/s10726-008-9144-8
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Maximilian Auffhammer & Ralf Steinhauser, 2007. "The Future Trajectory Of U.S. Co2 Emissions: The Role Of State Vs. Aggregate Information," Journal of Regional Science, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 47(1), pages 47-61, February.
    2. Panayotou, Theodore & Sachs, Jeffrey D. & Zwane, Alix Peterson, 2002. "Compensation for "Meaningful Participation" in Climate Change Control: A Modest Proposal and Empirical Analysis," Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, Elsevier, vol. 43(3), pages 437-454, May.
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    Cited by:

    1. Daniel Seaberg & Laura Devine & Jun Zhuang, 2017. "A review of game theory applications in natural disaster management research," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 89(3), pages 1461-1483, December.
    2. Sang-Chul Suh, 2016. "The Failure of Climate Change Negotiations: Irrational Countries Exclude the Poor and the Future Generations," Working Papers 1607, University of Windsor, Department of Economics.
    3. Suman Sensarma & Norio Okada, 2010. "Redefining the Game in Local Water Management Conflict: A Case Study," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 24(15), pages 4307-4316, December.
    4. Cecilia Rossignoli & Francesca Ricciardi & Sabrina Bonomi, 2018. "Organizing for Commons-Enabling Decision-Making Under Conflicting Institutional Logics in Social Entrepreneurship," Group Decision and Negotiation, Springer, vol. 27(3), pages 417-443, June.
    5. Bismark Appiah Addae & Weiming Wang & Haiyan Xu & Mohammad Reza Feylizadeh, 2021. "Sustainable Evaluation of Factors Affecting Energy-Resource Conflict in the Western Region of Ghana Using Large Group-DEMATEL," Group Decision and Negotiation, Springer, vol. 30(4), pages 847-877, August.

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