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Affine forward variance models

Author

Listed:
  • Jim Gatheral

    (CUNY)

  • Martin Keller-Ressel

    (TU Dresden)

Abstract

We introduce the class of affine forward variance (AFV) models of which both the conventional Heston model and the rough Heston model are special cases. We show that AFV models can be characterised by the affine form of their cumulant-generating function, which can be obtained as solution of a convolution Riccati equation. We further introduce the class of affine forward order flow intensity (AFI) models, which are structurally similar to AFV models, but driven by jump processes, and which include Hawkes-type models. We show that the cumulant-generating function of an AFI model satisfies a generalised convolution Riccati equation and that a high-frequency limit of AFI models converges in distribution to an AFV model.

Suggested Citation

  • Jim Gatheral & Martin Keller-Ressel, 2019. "Affine forward variance models," Finance and Stochastics, Springer, vol. 23(3), pages 501-533, July.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:finsto:v:23:y:2019:i:3:d:10.1007_s00780-019-00392-5
    DOI: 10.1007/s00780-019-00392-5
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Abi Jaber, Eduardo & El Euch, Omar, 2019. "Markovian structure of the Volterra Heston model," Statistics & Probability Letters, Elsevier, vol. 149(C), pages 63-72.
    2. Emmanuel Bacry & Iacopo Mastromatteo & Jean-Franc{c}ois Muzy, 2015. "Hawkes processes in finance," Papers 1502.04592, arXiv.org, revised May 2015.
    3. Thibault Jaisson & Mathieu Rosenbaum, 2013. "Limit theorems for nearly unstable Hawkes processes," Papers 1310.2033, arXiv.org, revised Mar 2015.
    4. H. J. Haubold & A. M. Mathai & R. K. Saxena, 2011. "Mittag-Leffler Functions and Their Applications," Journal of Applied Mathematics, Hindawi, vol. 2011, pages 1-51, May.
    5. Eduardo Abi Jaber & Omar El Euch, 2019. "Markovian structure of the Volterra Heston model," Post-Print hal-01716696, HAL.
    6. Heston, Steven L, 1993. "A Closed-Form Solution for Options with Stochastic Volatility with Applications to Bond and Currency Options," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 6(2), pages 327-343.
    7. Omar El Euch & Mathieu Rosenbaum, 2019. "The characteristic function of rough Heston models," Mathematical Finance, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 29(1), pages 3-38, January.
    8. Omar Euch & Masaaki Fukasawa & Mathieu Rosenbaum, 2018. "The microstructural foundations of leverage effect and rough volatility," Finance and Stochastics, Springer, vol. 22(2), pages 241-280, April.
    9. Gallant, A Ronald & Rossi, Peter E & Tauchen, George, 1992. "Stock Prices and Volume," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 5(2), pages 199-242.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Stochastic volatility; Rough volatility; Riccati equation; Affine process; Hawkes process;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G13 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Contingent Pricing; Futures Pricing

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    Access and download statistics

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