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The witching week of herding on bitcoin exchanges

Author

Listed:
  • N. Blasco

    (University of Zaragoza and Research Institute on Employment, Digital Society and Sustainability (IEDIS))

  • P. Corredor

    (Public University of Navarre (UPNA))

  • N. Satrústegui

    (University of Zaragoza)

Abstract

This paper analyses the herding behaviour among exchanges around the expiration of bitcoin futures traded on the Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME). The database extends from December 2017 to October 2020, taking as a reference the main exchanges that trade bitcoin (Binance, Bitfinex, Bitstamp, Coinbase, itBit, Kraken, and Gemini) and using hourly closing prices and trading volumes in bitcoin and US dollars. Adapting the proposal of Chang, Cheng and Khorana (2000) (CCK) to test conditional herding, we obtain results that indicate that the herding effect is significant during the week before expiration. After expiration, the herding effect lasts for a few hours and disappears. Information overload originating, among other causes, from sophisticated investors’ strategies may generate this mimetic behaviour. The results show the relevance of intraday data applied to specific events such as expiration since the unconditional analysis shows, in general, anti-herding behaviour throughout the period of study.

Suggested Citation

  • N. Blasco & P. Corredor & N. Satrústegui, 2022. "The witching week of herding on bitcoin exchanges," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 8(1), pages 1-18, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:fininn:v:8:y:2022:i:1:d:10.1186_s40854-021-00323-4
    DOI: 10.1186/s40854-021-00323-4
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    2. Michael Cary, 2024. "Herding and investor sentiment after the cryptocurrency crash: evidence from Twitter and natural language processing," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 10(1), pages 1-23, December.
    3. Deprez, Niek & Frömmel, Michael, 2024. "Are simple technical trading rules profitable in bitcoin markets?," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 93(PB), pages 858-874.
    4. Fatih Ecer & Tolga Murat & Hasan Dinçer & Serhat Yüksel, 2024. "A fuzzy BWM and MARCOS integrated framework with Heronian function for evaluating cryptocurrency exchanges: a case study of Türkiye," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 10(1), pages 1-29, December.
    5. Scharnowski, Stefan & Shi, Yanghua, 2024. "Intraday herding and attention around the clock," Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Finance, Elsevier, vol. 41(C).

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