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Critical comparison of several order-book models for stock-market fluctuations

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  • F. Slanina

Abstract

Far-from-equilibrium models of interacting particles in one dimension are used as a basis for modelling the stock-market fluctuations. Particle types and their positions are interpreted as buy and sel orders placed on a price axis in the order book. We revisit some modifications of well-known models, starting with the Bak-Paczuski-Shubik model. We look at the four decades old Stigler model and investigate its variants. One of them is the simplified version of the Genoa artificial market. The list of studied models is completed by the models of Maslov and Daniels et al. Generically, in all cases we compare the return distribution, absolute return autocorrelation and the value of the Hurst exponent. It turns out that none of the models reproduces satisfactorily all the empirical data, but the most promising candidates for further development are the Genoa artificial market and the Maslov model with moderate order evaporation. Copyright EDP Sciences/Società Italiana di Fisica/Springer-Verlag 2008

Suggested Citation

  • F. Slanina, 2008. "Critical comparison of several order-book models for stock-market fluctuations," The European Physical Journal B: Condensed Matter and Complex Systems, Springer;EDP Sciences, vol. 61(2), pages 225-240, January.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:eurphb:v:61:y:2008:i:2:p:225-240
    DOI: 10.1140/epjb/e2008-00059-3
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Thomas Lux & Eleni Samanidou & Stefan Reitz (ed.), 2005. "Nonlinear Dynamics and Heterogeneous Interacting Agents," Lecture Notes in Economics and Mathematical Systems, Springer, number 978-3-540-27296-0, September.
    2. Mantegna,Rosario N. & Stanley,H. Eugene, 2007. "Introduction to Econophysics," Cambridge Books, Cambridge University Press, number 9780521039871, January.
    3. Jean-Philippe Bouchaud, 1998. "Elements for a theory of financial risks," Science & Finance (CFM) working paper archive 500042, Science & Finance, Capital Fund Management.
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    Cited by:

    1. Sandrine Jacob Leal & Mauro Napoletano & Andrea Roventini & Giorgio Fagiolo, 2016. "Rock around the clock: An agent-based model of low- and high-frequency trading," Journal of Evolutionary Economics, Springer, vol. 26(1), pages 49-76, March.
    2. Alessio Emanuele Biondo, 2018. "Order book microstructure and policies for financial stability," Studies in Economics and Finance, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 35(1), pages 196-218, March.
    3. Alessio Emanuele Biondo, 2019. "Order book modeling and financial stability," Journal of Economic Interaction and Coordination, Springer;Society for Economic Science with Heterogeneous Interacting Agents, vol. 14(3), pages 469-489, September.
    4. Biondo, Alessio Emanuele, 2017. "Learning to forecast, risk aversion, and microstructural aspects of financial stability," Economics Discussion Papers 2017-104, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
    5. Withanawasam, R.M. & Whigham, P.A. & Crack, Timothy Falcon, 2013. "Characterizing limit order prices," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 392(21), pages 5346-5355.
    6. Anirban Chakraborti & Ioane Muni Toke & Marco Patriarca & Frédéric Abergel, 2011. "Econophysics review: II. Agent-based models," Post-Print hal-00621059, HAL.
    7. repec:hal:spmain:info:hdl:2441/f6h8764enu2lskk9p4oq9ig8k is not listed on IDEAS
    8. Alexander Lykov & Stepan Muzychka & Kirill Vaninsky, 2016. "Investor'S Sentiment In Multi-Agent Model Of The Continuous Double Auction," International Journal of Theoretical and Applied Finance (IJTAF), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 19(06), pages 1-29, September.
    9. Chiarella, Carl & Iori, Giulia, 2009. "The impact of heterogeneous trading rules on the limit order book and order flows," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 33(3), pages 525-537.
    10. Biondo, Alessio Emanuele, 2018. "Learning to forecast, risk aversion, and microstructural aspects of financial stability," Economics - The Open-Access, Open-Assessment E-Journal (2007-2020), Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel), vol. 12, pages 1-21.
    11. Marco Bartolozzi, 2010. "A Multi Agent Model for the Limit Order Book Dynamics," Papers 1005.0182, arXiv.org, revised Oct 2010.
    12. Martin Šmíd, 2016. "Estimation of zero-intelligence models by L1 data," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 16(9), pages 1423-1444, September.
    13. repec:spo:wpmain:info:hdl:2441/f6h8764enu2lskk9p4oq9ig8k is not listed on IDEAS
    14. Hernández, Juan Antonio & Benito, Rosa Marı´a & Losada, Juan Carlos, 2012. "An adaptive stochastic model for financial markets," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 45(6), pages 899-908.
    15. Mingjie Ji & Honggang Li, 2016. "Exploring Price Fluctuations in a Double Auction Market," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 48(2), pages 189-209, August.
    16. M. Bartolozzi, 2010. "A multi agent model for the limit order book dynamics," The European Physical Journal B: Condensed Matter and Complex Systems, Springer;EDP Sciences, vol. 78(2), pages 265-273, November.

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