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Value of intelligence applied to networks

Author

Listed:
  • Christopher M. Smith

    (TRADOC Analysis Center)

  • William T. Scherer

    (University of Virginia)

  • Stephen Carr

    (Johns Hopkins University Applied Physics Lab)

Abstract

A methodology is proposed to complement the subjective “value” of intelligence with an objective metric of “impact” of information on network models. This is a deterministic one-way sensitivity analysis similar to value of information used in inference diagrams. It would measure the impact of a piece of information on a network’s metric, in this case being used to answer intelligence analyst questions. This methodology suggests that the sensitivity of each link to existing analysis implies that the link has an impact on the analysis. The impact of these links can be measured quantitatively. In this paper, we explore data of tweets and apply the methodology to the links between twitter users and use the network measure of betweenness centrality to determine their quantitative impact on the overall network.

Suggested Citation

  • Christopher M. Smith & William T. Scherer & Stephen Carr, 2016. "Value of intelligence applied to networks," Environment Systems and Decisions, Springer, vol. 36(1), pages 85-91, March.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:envsyd:v:36:y:2016:i:1:d:10.1007_s10669-015-9581-2
    DOI: 10.1007/s10669-015-9581-2
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Igor Linkov & Daniel A. Eisenberg & Kenton Plourde & Thomas P. Seager & Julia Allen & Alex Kott, 2013. "Resilience metrics for cyber systems," Environment Systems and Decisions, Springer, vol. 33(4), pages 471-476, December.
    2. Stephen P. Borgatti & Daniel S. Halgin, 2011. "On Network Theory," Organization Science, INFORMS, vol. 22(5), pages 1168-1181, October.
    3. Edward H. Kaplan, 2012. "OR Forum---Intelligence Operations Research: The 2010 Philip McCord Morse Lecture," Operations Research, INFORMS, vol. 60(6), pages 1297-1309, December.
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    Cited by:

    1. Zachary A. Collier & James H. Lambert & Igor Linkov, 2016. "Introduction to the first general issue of 2016," Environment Systems and Decisions, Springer, vol. 36(1), pages 1-2, March.

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