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Expertise, safety, reliability, and decision making: practical industrial experience

Author

Listed:
  • André Lannoy

    (Institut pour la Maîtrise des Risques (IMdR))

  • Henri Procaccia

    (European Safety and Reliability Data Association (ESReDA))

Abstract

This paper presents our practical experience of expert opinion deduced from concrete field applications, concerning mainly safety and reliability modeling. First, expertise is defined and the approach used for eliciting expertise is shortly described. Quality and value of information from experts are important challenges for decision making from risk analysis. Expertise is very useful for supplying data when not enough field observations are available for estimating parameter uncertainties and quantifying risk analysis models, which are inputs to a decision-making process. Applications presented herein concern mainly the role of expert judgment in reliability.

Suggested Citation

  • André Lannoy & Henri Procaccia, 2014. "Expertise, safety, reliability, and decision making: practical industrial experience," Environment Systems and Decisions, Springer, vol. 34(2), pages 259-276, June.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:envsyd:v:34:y:2014:i:2:d:10.1007_s10669-014-9500-y
    DOI: 10.1007/s10669-014-9500-y
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Peres, François & Bouzaïene, Leïla & Bocquet, Jean-Claude & Billy, François & Lannoy, André & Haïk, Philippe, 2007. "Anticipating aging failure using feedback data and expert judgment," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 92(2), pages 200-210.
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    Cited by:

    1. Myriam Merad, 2014. "Expertise processes in risk assessment and management: How to improve their governance and their conduct?," Environment Systems and Decisions, Springer, vol. 34(2), pages 181-182, June.
    2. Jeremy Rohmer & Eric Chojnacki, 2021. "Forecast of environment systems using expert judgements: performance comparison between the possibilistic and the classical model," Environment Systems and Decisions, Springer, vol. 41(1), pages 131-146, March.

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