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Scenario development: using geopolitical wargames and strategic simulations

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  • R. McCreight

    (George Washington University)

Abstract

The art of scenario development is the core of successful and effective wargaming and conflict simulation which includes some fairly scientific aspects combined to form a proving ground for decision making, leadership and public policy. Paying attention to situational detail, estimating the relative strength, disposition, leadership and logistic determinants of contending opponents is key. Military wargames, in particular, have been effective in developing future leaders, assessing critical decisions, analyzing tactical pitfalls and helping to devise strategy for many centuries. The value of geopolitical wargames and strategic simulations is profoundly influential and valuable in helping aspiring leaders, executives and military commanders understand the obvious and hidden dynamics of contending armies and contextual influences. Likewise, the principles involved include substantial insights and benefits to those wishing to know more about the power of scenarios and wargaming on the development of leaders, the assessment of challenging pressures and the resolution of complex problems.

Suggested Citation

  • R. McCreight, 2013. "Scenario development: using geopolitical wargames and strategic simulations," Environment Systems and Decisions, Springer, vol. 33(1), pages 21-32, March.
  • Handle: RePEc:spr:envsyd:v:33:y:2013:i:1:d:10.1007_s10669-012-9426-1
    DOI: 10.1007/s10669-012-9426-1
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    Cited by:

    1. Andjelka Kelic & Zachary A. Collier & Christopher Brown & Walter E. Beyeler & Alexander V. Outkin & Vanessa N. Vargas & Mark A. Ehlen & Christopher Judson & Ali Zaidi & Billy Leung & Igor Linkov, 2013. "Decision framework for evaluating the macroeconomic risks and policy impacts of cyber attacks," Environment Systems and Decisions, Springer, vol. 33(4), pages 544-560, December.

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