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Restoring euro area monetary transmission: Which role for government bond rates?

Author

Listed:
  • Nikolay Hristov

    (CESifo)

  • Oliver Hülsewig

    (CESifo
    Munich University of Applied Sciences)

  • Thomas Siemsen

    (Ludwigs-Maximilians-University Munich)

  • Timo Wollmershäuser

    (CESifo
    ifo Institute for Economic Research)

Abstract

For a number of euro area periphery countries, this paper explores the stability of the link between bank lending rates and yields on sovereign bonds. A stable relationship between these interest rates is important for the ECB’s attempt to restore monetary policy transmission by conducting unconventional measures that aim at bringing down government bond rates. Using vector autoregressive models with time-varying parameters, we find that bank lending rates adjusted incompletely to changes in government bond rates before the onset of the financial crisis, while their responsiveness has even further weakened thereafter. Thus, our results suggest that periphery bank lending rates have not only decoupled from policy rates after mid-2008, but also from yields on sovereign bonds.

Suggested Citation

  • Nikolay Hristov & Oliver Hülsewig & Thomas Siemsen & Timo Wollmershäuser, 2019. "Restoring euro area monetary transmission: Which role for government bond rates?," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 57(3), pages 991-1021, September.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:empeco:v:57:y:2019:i:3:d:10.1007_s00181-018-1467-y
    DOI: 10.1007/s00181-018-1467-y
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    Cited by:

    1. Oliver Hülsewig & Horst Rottmann, 2022. "Euro Area Periphery Countries' Fiscal Policy and Monetary Policy Surprises," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 84(3), pages 544-568, June.
    2. Nikolay Hristov & Oliver Hülsewig & Johann Scharler, 2021. "Unconventional Monetary Policy Shocks in the Euro Area and the Sovereign-Bank Nexus," International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, vol. 17(3), pages 337-383, September.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    ECB; Unconventional monetary policy; Euro area crisis; Interest rate link; Time-varying parameter vector autoregressive models;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E42 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Monetary Sytsems; Standards; Regimes; Government and the Monetary System
    • E43 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Interest Rates: Determination, Term Structure, and Effects
    • E44 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy
    • E58 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Central Banks and Their Policies
    • E63 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook - - - Comparative or Joint Analysis of Fiscal and Monetary Policy; Stabilization; Treasury Policy

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