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Effects of a red card on goal-scoring in World Cup football matches

Author

Listed:
  • Jakub Červený

    (Tilburg University)

  • Jan C. Ours

    (Erasmus University Rotterdam
    Tinbergen Institute
    University of Melbourne
    CEPR)

  • Martin A. Tuijl

    (Tilburg University)

Abstract

We examine the effect of the sending-off of a player on the goal-scoring rates in FIFA World Cup matches in tournaments from 1998 to 2014. We use a hazard rate framework in which the effect of a red card is modeled as a shift in the goal-scoring rate. A red card may harm the team that receives a red card and may be beneficial for their opponent. Indeed, we find that the goal-scoring rate of the sanctioned team goes down, while the goal-scoring rate of the non-sanctioned team goes up.

Suggested Citation

  • Jakub Červený & Jan C. Ours & Martin A. Tuijl, 2018. "Effects of a red card on goal-scoring in World Cup football matches," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 55(2), pages 883-903, September.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:empeco:v:55:y:2018:i:2:d:10.1007_s00181-017-1287-5
    DOI: 10.1007/s00181-017-1287-5
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    Cited by:

    1. Dmitry Dagaev & Sofia Paklina & J. James Reade & Carl Singleton, 2024. "The Iron Curtain and Referee Bias in International Football," Journal of Sports Economics, , vol. 25(1), pages 126-151, January.
    2. Llorenç Badiella & Pedro Puig & Carlos Lago-Peñas & Martí Casals, 2023. "Influence of Red and Yellow cards on team performance in elite soccer," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 325(1), pages 149-165, June.
    3. De Meyere, Arne & Vanruymbeke, Ward & Baert, Stijn, 2018. "Player Dismissal and Full Time Results in the UEFA Champions League and Europa League," IZA Discussion Papers 11722, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Association football; Goal-scoring; Red card; World Cup football matches;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • Z29 - Other Special Topics - - Sports Economics - - - Other

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