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Real options signaling game models for dynamic acquisition under information asymmetry

Author

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  • Chi Man Leung

    (Hong Kong University of Science and Technology)

  • Yue Kuen Kwok

    (Hong Kong University of Science and Technology)

Abstract

We construct a real options signaling game model to analyze the impact of asymmetric information on the dynamic acquisition decision made by the aggressive acquirer firm and passive target firm in the takeover terms and timing. The target firm is assumed to have partial information on the synergy factor of the acquirer firm in generating the surplus value. Our dynamic acquisition game models are based on the market valuation of the surplus value of the acquirer and target firms, where the restructuring opportunities are modeled as exchange options. We analyze the various forms of equilibrium strategies on the deal and timing of takeover in the acquisition game and provide the mathematical characterization of the pooling and separating strategies adopted by the acquirer firm. We also determine the terms of takeover in the signaling game under varying levels of information asymmetry and synergy.

Suggested Citation

  • Chi Man Leung & Yue Kuen Kwok, 2018. "Real options signaling game models for dynamic acquisition under information asymmetry," Decisions in Economics and Finance, Springer;Associazione per la Matematica, vol. 41(1), pages 35-63, May.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:decfin:v:41:y:2018:i:1:d:10.1007_s10203-018-0206-3
    DOI: 10.1007/s10203-018-0206-3
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Paul Draper & Krishna Paudyal, 2008. "Information Asymmetry and Bidders' Gains," Journal of Business Finance & Accounting, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 35(3‐4), pages 376-405, April.
    2. Shleifer, Andrei & Vishny, Robert W., 2003. "Stock market driven acquisitions," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 70(3), pages 295-311, December.
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    4. Morellec, Erwan & Zhdanov, Alexei, 2005. "The dynamics of mergers and acquisitions," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 77(3), pages 649-672, September.
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    7. Thomas Borek & Stefan Bühler & Armin Schmutzler, 2008. "Analyzing Mergers under Asymmetric Information: A Simple Reduced-Form Approach," University of St. Gallen Department of Economics working paper series 2008 2008-15, Department of Economics, University of St. Gallen.
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    9. Micah S. Officer & Annette B. Poulsen & Mike Stegemoller, 2009. "Target-firm information asymmetry and acquirer returns," Review of Finance, European Finance Association, vol. 13(3), pages 467-493.
    10. Thijssen, Jacco J.J., 2008. "Optimal and strategic timing of mergers and acquisitions motivated by synergies and risk diversification," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 32(5), pages 1701-1720, May.
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    Cited by:

    1. Qiuqi Wang & Yue Kuen Kwok, 2019. "Signaling game models of equity financing under information asymmetry and finite project life," International Journal of Financial Engineering (IJFE), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 6(01), pages 1-38, March.
    2. repec:hok:dpaper:362 is not listed on IDEAS

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Decision analysis; Real options signaling game; Dynamic acquisition; Information asymmetry; Perfect Bayesian equilibrium;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C73 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Game Theory and Bargaining Theory - - - Stochastic and Dynamic Games; Evolutionary Games
    • G34 - Financial Economics - - Corporate Finance and Governance - - - Mergers; Acquisitions; Restructuring; Corporate Governance

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