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What risks matter? Public views about assisted migration and other climate-adaptive reforestation strategies

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  • Guillaume Peterson St-Laurent

    (University of British Columbia)

  • Shannon Hagerman

    (University of British Columbia)

  • Robert Kozak

    (University of British Columbia)

Abstract

The world’s forests play an important role in regulating climate change through their capacity to sequester carbon. At the same time, they are also increasingly vulnerable to the impacts of climate change. In the western Canadian province of British Columbia, changes in temperature, precipitation, and disturbance regimes are already impacting forests. In response to these observed and anticipated changes, adapted reforestation practices are being developed and proposed as a means to help forest ecosystems adjust to changing climatic conditions. One such practice under consideration is assisted migration—planting species within or outside of the native historical range into areas that are anticipated to be climatically suitable in the future. We used a survey of British Columbia’s population at large (n = 1923) to quantify levels of support for a range of potential reforestation options (including assisted migration) to adapt to climate change, and to explore what factors can help predict this support. Our findings reveal that the likely location of potential public controversy resides not with the potential implementation of assisted migration strategies per se, but rather with assisted migration strategies that involve movement of tree species beyond their native range.

Suggested Citation

  • Guillaume Peterson St-Laurent & Shannon Hagerman & Robert Kozak, 2018. "What risks matter? Public views about assisted migration and other climate-adaptive reforestation strategies," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 151(3), pages 573-587, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:climat:v:151:y:2018:i:3:d:10.1007_s10584-018-2310-3
    DOI: 10.1007/s10584-018-2310-3
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Pelai, Ricardo & Hagerman, Shannon M. & Kozak, Robert, 2020. "Biotechnologies in agriculture and forestry: Governance insights from a comparative systematic review of barriers and recommendations," Forest Policy and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 117(C).
    2. Hallberg-Sramek, Isabella & Nordström, Eva-Maria & Priebe, Janina & Reimerson, Elsa & Mårald, Erland & Nordin, Annika, 2023. "Combining scientific and local knowledge improves evaluating future scenarios of forest ecosystem services," Ecosystem Services, Elsevier, vol. 60(C).
    3. repec:caa:jnljfs:v:preprint:id:5-2024-jfs is not listed on IDEAS
    4. Petit, Joshua D. & Needham, Mark D. & Howe, Glenn T., 2021. "Cognitive and demographic drivers of attitudes toward using genetic engineering to restore American chestnut trees," Forest Policy and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 125(C).
    5. Petr Dujka & Antonín Kusbach, 2024. "Geographical forest zonation: Perspectives, history and use," Journal of Forest Science, Czech Academy of Agricultural Sciences, vol. 70(7), pages 335-352.
    6. Pelai, Ricardo & Hagerman, Shannon M. & Kozak, Robert, 2021. "Whose expertise counts? Assisted migration and the politics of knowledge in British Columbia’s public forests," Land Use Policy, Elsevier, vol. 103(C).
    7. Robin Gregory & Robert Kozak & Guillaume Peterson St-Laurent & Sara Nawaz & Terre Satterfield & Shannon Hagerman, 2021. "Under pressure: conservation choices and the threat of species extinction," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 166(1), pages 1-21, May.
    8. Anqi Yang & Shudong Yang, 2023. "The Impact of the Implementation of International Law on Marine Environmental Protection on International Public Health Driven by Multi-Source Network Comment Mining," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 20(6), pages 1-16, March.
    9. Reneema Hazarika & Katharina Lapin & Anja Bindewald & Ana Sofia Vaz & Aleksander Marinšek & Nicola Porta & Patricia Detry & Frédéric Berger & Darja Barič & Anica Simčič & Harald Vacik, 2024. "Balancing Risks and Benefits: Stakeholder Perspective on Managing Non-Native Tree Species in the European Alpine Space," Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change, Springer, vol. 29(6), pages 1-22, August.

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