IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/spr/climat/v130y2015i4p619-634.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Paleo-hydrologic reconstruction based on stalagmite δ 18 O and re-assessment of river flow above the Danjiangkou Dam, China

Author

Listed:
  • Jiongxin Xu

Abstract

High-resolution and high-precision paleo-hydrological reconstruction is important both in science and in engineering practice. Here we show that the stalagmite δ 18 O record can be used for paleo-hydrological reconstruction in a monsoon affected area in China. Using the cave δ 18 O record established by Zhang et al. (Science 322:940–942, 2008 ), we established a regression equation, which indicates that the 5-point moving average of the Wanxiang Cave δ 18 O (δ 18 O 5m ) can explain 59 % of the variation in the 5-point moving average of annual river flow (Q w,D,5m ) at Danjiangkou of the Hanjiang River. Using this equation, we reconstructed Q w,D,5m for the period from 197 AD to 2001. The project of water transfer from south China to north (WTFSCTN) aims to solve the problem of serious water shortage in the north China plain, and reasonable estimation of amount of the water diversion is crucially important. Based on the reconstructed long series of Q w,D,5m (197–2001), we re-assessed the statistical characteristics of the measured Q w,D,5m in short series (1932–2006), — based on the latter the amount of water diversion was designed. The results show that the short series seriously over estimates the annual Q w,D,5m for very dry (18.8 % larger) and extremely dry (21.5 % larger) years, and considerale bias would be yielded when the water diversion amount is determined only based on the short series. In case some very dry years occur, the situation would be serious either for the WTFSCTN water supply or for the eco-systems downstream from the Danjiangkou Reservoir. Copyright Springer Science+Business Media Dordrecht 2015

Suggested Citation

  • Jiongxin Xu, 2015. "Paleo-hydrologic reconstruction based on stalagmite δ 18 O and re-assessment of river flow above the Danjiangkou Dam, China," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 130(4), pages 619-634, June.
  • Handle: RePEc:spr:climat:v:130:y:2015:i:4:p:619-634
    DOI: 10.1007/s10584-015-1369-3
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1007/s10584-015-1369-3
    Download Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers.

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1007/s10584-015-1369-3?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Yongjin Wang & Hai Cheng & R. Lawrence Edwards & Xinggong Kong & Xiaohua Shao & Shitao Chen & Jiangyin Wu & Xiouyang Jiang & Xianfeng Wang & Zhisheng An, 2008. "Millennial- and orbital-scale changes in the East Asian monsoon over the past 224,000 years," Nature, Nature, vol. 451(7182), pages 1090-1093, February.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Hong Ao & Eelco J. Rohling & Ran Zhang & Andrew P. Roberts & Ann E. Holbourn & Jean-Baptiste Ladant & Guillaume Dupont-Nivet & Wolfgang Kuhnt & Peng Zhang & Feng Wu & Mark J. Dekkers & Qingsong Liu & , 2021. "Global warming-induced Asian hydrological climate transition across the Miocene–Pliocene boundary," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 12(1), pages 1-13, December.
    2. Liang Yi & Hongjun Yu & Junyi Ge & Zhongping Lai & Xingyong Xu & Li Qin & Shuzhen Peng, 2012. "Reconstructions of annual summer precipitation and temperature in north-central China since 1470 AD based on drought/flood index and tree-ring records," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 110(1), pages 469-498, January.
    3. Xiyu Dong & Gayatri Kathayat & Sune O. Rasmussen & Anders Svensson & Jeffrey P. Severinghaus & Hanying Li & Ashish Sinha & Yao Xu & Haiwei Zhang & Zhengguo Shi & Yanjun Cai & Carlos Pérez-Mejías & Jon, 2022. "Coupled atmosphere-ice-ocean dynamics during Heinrich Stadial 2," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 13(1), pages 1-14, December.
    4. Ye Tian & Dominik Fleitmann & Qiong Zhang & Lijuan Sha & Jasper. A. Wassenburg & Josefine Axelsson & Haiwei Zhang & Xianglei Li & Jun Hu & Hanying Li & Liang Zhao & Yanjun Cai & Youfeng Ning & Hai Che, 2023. "Holocene climate change in southern Oman deciphered by speleothem records and climate model simulations," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 14(1), pages 1-10, December.
    5. Xusheng Li & Yuwen Zhou & Zhiyong Han & Xiaokang Yuan & Shuangwen Yi & Yuqiang Zeng & Lisha Qin & Ming Lu & Huayu Lu, 2024. "Loess deposits in the low latitudes of East Asia reveal the ~20-kyr precipitation cycle," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 15(1), pages 1-10, December.
    6. F. Held & H. Cheng & R. L. Edwards & O. Tüysüz & K. Koç & D. Fleitmann, 2024. "Dansgaard-Oeschger cycles of the penultimate and last glacial period recorded in stalagmites from Türkiye," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 15(1), pages 1-8, December.
    7. Anders Levermann & Jonathan Bamber & Sybren Drijfhout & Andrey Ganopolski & Winfried Haeberli & Neil Harris & Matthias Huss & Kirstin Krüger & Timothy Lenton & Ronald Lindsay & Dirk Notz & Peter Wadha, 2012. "Potential climatic transitions with profound impact on Europe," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 110(3), pages 845-878, February.
    8. Yukun Zheng & Hongyan Liu & Huan Yang & Hongya Wang & Wenjie Zhao & Zeyu Zhang & Miao Huang & Weihang Liu, 2022. "Decoupled Asian monsoon intensity and precipitation during glacial-interglacial transitions on the Chinese Loess Plateau," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 13(1), pages 1-13, December.

    More about this item

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:spr:climat:v:130:y:2015:i:4:p:619-634. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Sonal Shukla or Springer Nature Abstracting and Indexing (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.springer.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.