IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/spr/annopr/v325y2023i2d10.1007_s10479-022-04704-5.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Developing an integrated fuzzy credit rating system for SMEs using fuzzy-BWM and fuzzy-TOPSIS-Sort-C

Author

Listed:
  • Pranith Kumar Roy

    (Indian Institute of Technology (ISM) Dhanbad)

  • Krishnendu Shaw

    (Indian Institute of Technology (ISM) Dhanbad)

  • Alessio Ishizaka

    (NEOMA Business School)

Abstract

Financial institutions employ credit rating systems to classify new borrowers, set loan terms, and determine collateral requirements. Small and medium-sized businesses (SMEs) are frequently found to be unorganised when it comes to financial data management. Credit risk assessment using unstructured financial data is multifaceted for financial institutions. Most extant credit rating systems are data-intensive and have been criticised for breaching their data distribution and structural assumptions. Such approaches may struggle to estimate SME’s credit ratings accurately with sparse and missing data. To address the finance gap for SMEs, this study extends the application of expert systems by proposing a multi-criteria credit rating system. The proposed method utilises existing fuzzy-BWM to determine the weight of criteria and a newly proposed fuzzy-TOPSIS-Sort-C approach to classify SMEs according to their characteristic profiles. The suggested decision support system is expert-driven and built on sparse financial and non-financial data. BWM and TOPSIS were integrated with fuzzy set theory to overcome uncertainty when making decisions. This paper extends the prior TOPSIS-Sort-C method to fuzzy TOPSIS-Sort-C as a theoretical contribution. The suggested system efficacy is demonstrated by a case study that compares it with a commercial rating model using real-world data. The system performs with considerable effectiveness and a true positive rate when applied to credit rating. It could assist financial institutions in identifying potential SMEs for lending.

Suggested Citation

  • Pranith Kumar Roy & Krishnendu Shaw & Alessio Ishizaka, 2023. "Developing an integrated fuzzy credit rating system for SMEs using fuzzy-BWM and fuzzy-TOPSIS-Sort-C," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 325(2), pages 1197-1229, June.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:annopr:v:325:y:2023:i:2:d:10.1007_s10479-022-04704-5
    DOI: 10.1007/s10479-022-04704-5
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://link.springer.com/10.1007/s10479-022-04704-5
    File Function: Abstract
    Download Restriction: Access to the full text of the articles in this series is restricted.
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1007/s10479-022-04704-5?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Alessandro Girardi & Marco Ventura, 2021. "Measuring credit crunch in Italy: evidence from a survey-based indicator," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 299(1), pages 567-592, April.
    2. Nidhaleddine Ben Cheikh & Oussama Ben Hmiden & Younes Ben Zaied & Sabri Boubaker, 2021. "Do sovereign credit ratings matter for corporate credit ratings?," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 297(1), pages 77-114, February.
    3. Gupta, Jairaj & Gregoriou, Andros, 2018. "Impact of market-based finance on SMEs failure," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 69(C), pages 13-25.
    4. George Chalamandaris & Nikos E. Vlachogiannakis, 2018. "Are financial ratios relevant for trading credit risk? Evidence from the CDS market," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 266(1), pages 395-440, July.
    5. Andrea Bedin & Monica Billio & Michele Costola & Loriana Pelizzon, 2019. "Credit Scoring in SME Asset-Backed Securities: An Italian Case Study," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 12(2), pages 1-28, May.
    6. Guotai Chi & Zhipeng Zhang, 2017. "Multi Criteria Credit Rating Model for Small Enterprise Using a Nonparametric Method," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 9(10), pages 1-23, October.
    7. Kremp, Elizabeth & Sevestre, Patrick, 2013. "Did the crisis induce credit rationing for French SMEs?," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 37(10), pages 3757-3772.
    8. Tang, Ying & Moro, Andrea, 2020. "Trade credit in China: Exploring the link between short term debt and payables," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 59(C).
    9. Constantin Zopounidis & Emilios C. C Galariotis & Michael Doumpos & Stavroula Sarri & Kostas Andriosopoulos, 2015. "Multiple criteria decision aiding for finance: An updated bibliographic survey," Post-Print hal-02879842, HAL.
    10. Masato Abe & Michael Troilo & Orgil Batsaikhan, 2015. "Financing small and medium enterprises in Asia and the Pacific," Journal of Entrepreneurship and Public Policy, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 4(1), pages 2-32, April.
    11. Cucinelli, Doriana & Battista, Maria Luisa Di & Marchese, Malvina & Nieri, Laura, 2018. "Credit risk in European banks: The bright side of the internal ratings based approach," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 93(C), pages 213-229.
    12. Salvatore Corrente & Michael Doumpos & Salvatore Greco & Roman Słowiński & Constantin Zopounidis, 2017. "Multiple criteria hierarchy process for sorting problems based on ordinal regression with additive value functions," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 251(1), pages 117-139, April.
    13. Rajesh Kr. Singh & Angappa Gunasekaran & Pravin Kumar, 2018. "Third party logistics (3PL) selection for cold chain management: a fuzzy AHP and fuzzy TOPSIS approach," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 267(1), pages 531-553, August.
    14. Alnoor Bhimani & Mohamed Azzim Gulamhussen & Samuel da Rocha Lopes, 2013. "The Role of Financial, Macroeconomic, and Non-financial Information in Bank Loan Default Timing Prediction," European Accounting Review, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 22(4), pages 739-763, December.
    15. Hirsch, Bernhard & Nitzl, Christian & Schoen, Matthias, 2018. "Interorganizational trust and agency costs in credit relationships between savings banks and SMEs," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 97(C), pages 37-50.
    16. Merikas, Andreas & Merika, Anna & Penikas, Henry I. & Surkov, Mikhail A., 2020. "The Basel II internal ratings based (IRB) model and the transition impact on the listed Greek banks," The Journal of Economic Asymmetries, Elsevier, vol. 22(C).
    17. Angilella, Silvia & Mazzù, Sebastiano, 2015. "The financing of innovative SMEs: A multicriteria credit rating model," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 244(2), pages 540-554.
    18. Masato Abe & Michael Troilo & Orgil Batsaikhan, 2015. "Financing small and medium enterprises in Asia and the Pacific," Journal of Entrepreneurship and Public Policy, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 4(1), pages 2-32, April.
    19. Jackowicz, Krzysztof & Kozłowski, Łukasz, 2019. "Social ties between SME managers and bank employees: Financial consequences vs. SME managers' perceptions," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 40(C), pages 1-1.
    20. Dawen Yan & Xiaohui Zhang & Mingzheng Wang, 2021. "A robust bank asset allocation model integrating credit-rating migration risk and capital adequacy ratio regulations," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 299(1), pages 659-710, April.
    21. Ishizaka, Alessio & Resce, Giuliano, 2021. "Best-Worst PROMETHEE method for evaluating school performance in the OECD's PISA project," Socio-Economic Planning Sciences, Elsevier, vol. 73(C).
    22. Nirosha Hewa Wellalage & Stuart Locke & Helen Samujh, 2020. "Firm bribery and credit access: evidence from Indian SMEs," Small Business Economics, Springer, vol. 55(1), pages 283-304, June.
    23. Ioannis Tsolas, 2015. "Firm credit risk evaluation: a series two-stage DEA modeling framework," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 233(1), pages 483-500, October.
    24. Bai, Chunguang & Shi, Baofeng & Liu, Feng & Sarkis, Joseph, 2019. "Banking credit worthiness: Evaluating the complex relationships," Omega, Elsevier, vol. 83(C), pages 26-38.
    25. Rezaei, Jafar, 2015. "Best-worst multi-criteria decision-making method," Omega, Elsevier, vol. 53(C), pages 49-57.
    26. Petersen, Mitchell A & Rajan, Raghuram G, 1994. "The Benefits of Lending Relationships: Evidence from Small Business Data," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 49(1), pages 3-37, March.
    27. Doumpos, Michalis & Figueira, José Rui, 2019. "A multicriteria outranking approach for modeling corporate credit ratings: An application of the Electre Tri-nC method," Omega, Elsevier, vol. 82(C), pages 166-180.
    28. Constantin Zopounidis & Emilios Galariotis & Michael Doumpos & Stavroula Sarri & Kostas Andriosopoulos, 2015. "Multiple criteria decision aiding for finance: An updated bibliographic survey," Post-Print hal-01183389, HAL.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Giedrė Lapinskienė & Irena Danilevičienė, 2023. "Assessment of Green Banking Performance," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(20), pages 1-16, October.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Pranith Kumar Roy & Krishnendu Shaw, 2021. "A multicriteria credit scoring model for SMEs using hybrid BWM and TOPSIS," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 7(1), pages 1-27, December.
    2. Pranith Kumar Roy & Krishnendu Shaw, 2022. "Developing a multi-criteria sustainable credit score system using fuzzy BWM and fuzzy TOPSIS," Environment, Development and Sustainability: A Multidisciplinary Approach to the Theory and Practice of Sustainable Development, Springer, vol. 24(4), pages 5368-5399, April.
    3. Paulo Cesar Schotten & Leydiana Sousa Pereira & Danielle Costa Morais, 2022. "Credit granting sorting model for financial organizations," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 8(1), pages 1-24, December.
    4. Chrysovalantis Gaganis & Panagiota Papadimitri & Menelaos Tasiou, 2021. "A multicriteria decision support tool for modelling bank credit ratings," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 306(1), pages 27-56, November.
    5. Julio Cezar Soares Silva & Diogo Ferreira de Lima Silva & Luciano Ferreira & Adiel Teixeira de Almeida-Filho, 2022. "A dominance-based rough set approach applied to evaluate the credit risk of sovereign bonds," 4OR, Springer, vol. 20(1), pages 139-164, March.
    6. Pranith K. Roy & Krishnendu Shaw, 2023. "A credit scoring model for SMEs using AHP and TOPSIS," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 28(1), pages 372-391, January.
    7. Sarah Ben Amor & Fateh Belaid & Ramzi Benkraiem & Boumediene Ramdani & Khaled Guesmi, 2023. "Multi-criteria classification, sorting, and clustering: a bibliometric review and research agenda," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 325(2), pages 771-793, June.
    8. Carlo Alberto Magni & Stefano Malagoli & Andrea Marchioni & Giovanni Mastroleo, 2020. "Rating firms and sensitivity analysis," Journal of the Operational Research Society, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 71(12), pages 1940-1958, December.
    9. Maria A. S. Xavier & Fernando A. F. Ferreira & José P. Esperança, 2021. "An intuition-based evaluation framework for social credit applications," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 296(1), pages 571-590, January.
    10. Shi, Baofeng & Chi, Guotai & Li, Weiping, 2020. "Exploring the mismatch between credit ratings and loss-given-default: A credit risk approach," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 85(C), pages 420-428.
    11. Francesco Ciampi & Alessandro Giannozzi & Giacomo Marzi & Edward I. Altman, 2021. "Rethinking SME default prediction: a systematic literature review and future perspectives," Scientometrics, Springer;Akadémiai Kiadó, vol. 126(3), pages 2141-2188, March.
    12. Jang Ho Kim & Yongjae Lee & Woo Chang Kim & Frank J. Fabozzi, 2022. "Goal-based investing based on multi-stage robust portfolio optimization," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 313(2), pages 1141-1158, June.
    13. Tsionas, Mike G., 2019. "Multi-objective optimization using statistical models," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 276(1), pages 364-378.
    14. Dilupa Nakandala & Yung Po Tsang & Henry Lau & Carman Ka Man Lee, 2022. "An Industrial Blockchain-Based Multi-Criteria Decision Framework for Global Freight Management in Agricultural Supply Chains," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 10(19), pages 1-23, September.
    15. Théo Nicolas., 2023. "Bank Market Power and Interest Rate Setting: Why Consolidated Banking Data Matte [Pouvoir de marché des banques et fixation des taux d’intérêt : de l’importance de prendre en compte les données ban," Débats économiques et financiers 40, Banque de France.
    16. Pätäri, Eero & Karell, Ville & Luukka, Pasi & Yeomans, Julian S, 2018. "Comparison of the multicriteria decision-making methods for equity portfolio selection: The U.S. evidence," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 265(2), pages 655-672.
    17. Carayannis, Elias G. & Ferreira, Fernando A.F. & Bento, Paulo & Ferreira, João J.M. & Jalali, Marjan S. & Fernandes, Bernardo M.Q., 2018. "Developing a socio-technical evaluation index for tourist destination competitiveness using cognitive mapping and MCDA," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 131(C), pages 147-158.
    18. Doumpos, Michalis & Zopounidis, Constantin & Gounopoulos, Dimitrios & Platanakis, Emmanouil & Zhang, Wenke, 2023. "Operational research and artificial intelligence methods in banking," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 306(1), pages 1-16.
    19. Qi, Yue & Liao, Kezhi & Liu, Tongyang & Zhang, Yu, 2022. "Originating multiple-objective portfolio selection by counter-COVID measures and analytically instigating robust optimization by mean-parameterized nondominated paths," Operations Research Perspectives, Elsevier, vol. 9(C).
    20. Max Berre, 2022. "Which Factors Matter Most? Can Startup Valuation be Micro-Targeted?," Post-Print hal-03829877, HAL.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:spr:annopr:v:325:y:2023:i:2:d:10.1007_s10479-022-04704-5. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Sonal Shukla or Springer Nature Abstracting and Indexing (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.springer.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.