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Nearest neighbor hazard estimation with left-truncated duration data

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  • Rafael Weißbach
  • Wladislaw Poniatowski
  • Walter Krämer

Abstract

Duration data often suffer from both left-truncation and right-censoring. We show how both deficiencies can be overcome at the same time when estimating the hazard rate nonparametrically by kernel smoothing with the nearest-neighbor bandwidth. Smoothing Turnbull’s estimator of the cumulative hazard rate, we derive strong uniform consistency of the estimate from Hoeffding’s inequality, applied to a generalized empirical distribution function. We also apply our estimator to rating transitions of corporate loans in Germany. Copyright Springer-Verlag 2013

Suggested Citation

  • Rafael Weißbach & Wladislaw Poniatowski & Walter Krämer, 2013. "Nearest neighbor hazard estimation with left-truncated duration data," AStA Advances in Statistical Analysis, Springer;German Statistical Society, vol. 97(1), pages 33-47, January.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:alstar:v:97:y:2013:i:1:p:33-47
    DOI: 10.1007/s10182-012-0194-5
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Weißbach, Rafael & Mollenhauer, Thomas, 2011. "Modelling Rating Transitions," VfS Annual Conference 2011 (Frankfurt, Main): The Order of the World Economy - Lessons from the Crisis 48698, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
    2. Merton, Robert C, 1974. "On the Pricing of Corporate Debt: The Risk Structure of Interest Rates," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 29(2), pages 449-470, May.
    3. Dominik Wied & Rafael Weißbach, 2012. "Consistency of the kernel density estimator: a survey," Statistical Papers, Springer, vol. 53(1), pages 1-21, February.
    4. Kiefer, Nicholas M. & Larson, C. Erik, 2007. "A simulation estimator for testing the time homogeneity of credit rating transitions," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 14(5), pages 818-835, December.
    5. Weißbach, Rafael & Walter, Ronja, 2010. "A likelihood ratio test for stationarity of rating transitions," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 155(2), pages 188-194, April.
    6. Carlo Grillenzoni, 2008. "Robust nonparametric estimation of the intensity function of point data," AStA Advances in Statistical Analysis, Springer;German Statistical Society, vol. 92(2), pages 117-134, May.
    7. Rafael Weißbach & Patrick Tschiersch & Claudia Lawrenz, 2009. "Testing time-homogeneity of rating transitions after origination of debt," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 36(3), pages 575-596, June.
    8. Yongdai Kim & Lancelot James & Rafael Weissbach, 2012. "Bayesian analysis of multistate event history data: beta-Dirichlet process prior," Biometrika, Biometrika Trust, vol. 99(1), pages 127-140.
    9. Goto, Fumihiro, 1996. "Achieving Semiparametric Efficiency Bounds in Left-Censored Duration Models," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 64(2), pages 439-442, March.
    10. Lothar Knüppel & Oliver Hermsen, 2010. "Median split, k-group split, and optimality in continuous populations," AStA Advances in Statistical Analysis, Springer;German Statistical Society, vol. 94(1), pages 53-74, March.
    11. Li, Dong & Li, Qi, 2010. "Nonparametric/semiparametric estimation and testing of econometric models with data dependent smoothing parameters," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 157(1), pages 179-190, July.
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    1. Rafael Weißbach & Dominik Wied, 2022. "Truncating the exponential with a uniform distribution," Statistical Papers, Springer, vol. 63(4), pages 1247-1270, August.
    2. Rafael Weißbach & Yongdai Kim & Achim Dörre & Anne Fink & Gabriele Doblhammer, 2021. "Left-censored dementia incidences in estimating cohort effects," Lifetime Data Analysis: An International Journal Devoted to Statistical Methods and Applications for Time-to-Event Data, Springer, vol. 27(1), pages 38-63, January.

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