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Costo economico de la impunidad

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  • Eva Olimpia Arceo Gomez

    (Universidad Iberoamericana, Ciudad de Mexico)

Abstract

El objetivo de este documento es hacer una estimacion educada del costo economico de la impunidad en Mexico, especificamente, aquella relacionada con homicidios, desapariciones y desplazamientos forzados durante la guerra contra el narco. La estimacion fue realizada en tres etapas. Primero, se llevo a cabo una amplia revision de la literatura sobre los costos de la violencia criminal relacionada con la guerra contra el narco, y la relacion entre calidad institucional, impunidad y legitimidad de las instituciones en homicidios. En una segunda etapa, se estimaron los costos economicos de las perdidas de vidas mediante una imputacion del flujo salarial no realizado de las victimas. Finalmente, se estimo el costo economico de la impunidad en Mexico con base en las etapas anteriores. Los resultados muestran que para 2030, si no se perpetra ni un asesinato mas, se habran perdido 1.8 billones de pesos en comparacion con una senda de crecimiento sin asesinatos ni desaparecidos, mientras que para 2050 el costo ascenderia a 8.7 billones de pesos.

Suggested Citation

  • Eva Olimpia Arceo Gomez, 2022. "Costo economico de la impunidad," Sobre México. Revista de Economía, Sobre México. Temas en economía, vol. 3(5), pages 5-41.
    • Handle: RePEc:smx:journl:05:5:41
    as

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    File URL: https://sobremexico-revista.ibero.mx/index.php/Revista_Sobre_Mexico/article/view/103
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
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    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • O10 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - General
    • O54 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economywide Country Studies - - - Latin America; Caribbean
    • K42 - Law and Economics - - Legal Procedure, the Legal System, and Illegal Behavior - - - Illegal Behavior and the Enforcement of Law

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