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Kumulatywny vs. panelowy model przestrzenny w modelowaniu inwestycji lokalnych polskich gmin w latach 1995–2015

Author

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  • Katarzyna Kopczewska

    (Uniwersytet Warszawski)

Abstract

W pracy badana jest efektywność inwestycji samorządowych w gminach w latach 1995–2015. Celem jest zbadanie zależności pomiędzy dochodami własnymi a wydatkami inwestycyjnymi samorządów oraz uwarunkowań fiskalnych i pozafiskalnych dla lokalnych inwestycji. Badane jest także nasycenie inwestycjami oraz lokalne mnożniki dochodowe (długo- i krótkoterminowe oraz krańcowe). Analizowana jest przestrzenna dyfuzja oraz istnienie klastrów inwestycji. Modelowanie ekonometryczne oparte zostało na panelowym modelu przestrzennym i skumulowanym modelu przestrzennym. Specyfikacja modelu opiera się na koncepcji Net Present Value (NPV), która pozwala na traktowanie inwestycji wieloletnich i dochodów budżetowych jak Cash Flow projektu. Interpretacja modelu z opóźnieniem przestrzennym zmiennej objaśnianej oraz komponentem Durbina (opóźnienie przestrzenne zmiennych objaśniających) jest oparta na efektach pośrednich i bezpośrednich. Różne wykorzystane macierze wag przestrzennych, w tym macierz wspólnej granicy i macierz odwrotnej odległości, umożliwiają lepszą ocenę zakresu rozproszenia przestrzennego procesu inwestycyjnego.

Suggested Citation

  • Katarzyna Kopczewska, 2017. "Kumulatywny vs. panelowy model przestrzenny w modelowaniu inwestycji lokalnych polskich gmin w latach 1995–2015," Collegium of Economic Analysis Annals, Warsaw School of Economics, Collegium of Economic Analysis, issue 47, pages 113-128.
    • Handle: RePEc:sgh:annals:i:47:y:2017:p:113-128
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    efektywność inwestycyjna; lokalne inwestycje samorządowe; ekonometria przestrzenna; skumulowany model ekonometryczny;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C21 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Cross-Sectional Models; Spatial Models; Treatment Effect Models
    • C23 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Models with Panel Data; Spatio-temporal Models
    • R12 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - General Regional Economics - - - Size and Spatial Distributions of Regional Economic Activity; Interregional Trade (economic geography)
    • R5 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - Regional Government Analysis

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