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Badanie dynamiki ubóstwa gospodarstw domowych z wykorzystaniem wybranych modeli analizy historii zdarzeń

Author

Listed:
  • Anna Sączewska-Piotrowska

    (Uniwersytet Ekonomiczny w Katowicach)

Abstract

Celem artykułu jest identyfikacja czynników zwiększających i zmniejszających szanse wejścia do sfery ubóstwa i wyjścia z niej. W analizie zastosowano modele analizy historii zdarzeń – semiparametryczny model Coxa oraz modele o czasie dyskretnym (logitowy oraz komplementarny logistyczno-logistyczny). W modelach uwzględniono następujące zmienne objaśniające: płeć, wiek i wykształcenie głowy gospodarstwa domowego, klasę miejscowości zamieszkania, grupę społeczno-ekonomiczną oraz status gospodarstwa domowego na rynku pracy. Analiza została poszerzona o opisową analizę czasu przeżycia w sferze ubóstwa oraz czasu przeżycia poza sferą ubóstwa z wykorzystaniem estymatora Kaplana–Meiera. Prawdopodobieństwo przeżycia w sferze ubóstwa przez długi czas jest mniejsze niż prawdopodobieństwo przeżycia poza tą sferą. Gospodarstwa domowe utrzymujące się z niezarobkowych źródeł są w najgorszej sytuacji ekonomicznej, ponieważ mają małe szanse na wyjście ze sfery ubóstwa oraz duże szanse na wejście do niej.

Suggested Citation

  • Anna Sączewska-Piotrowska, 2016. "Badanie dynamiki ubóstwa gospodarstw domowych z wykorzystaniem wybranych modeli analizy historii zdarzeń," Collegium of Economic Analysis Annals, Warsaw School of Economics, Collegium of Economic Analysis, issue 41, pages 29-46.
    • Handle: RePEc:sgh:annals:i:41:y:2016:p:29-46
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Andriopoulou, Eirini & Tsakloglou, Panagiotis, 2011. "The determinants of poverty transitions in Europe and the role of duration dependence," MPRA Paper 30659, University Library of Munich, Germany.
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    3. Ann Huff Stevens, 1999. "Climbing out of Poverty, Falling Back in: Measuring the Persistence of Poverty Over Multiple Spells," Journal of Human Resources, University of Wisconsin Press, vol. 34(3), pages 557-588.
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    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    dynamika ubóstwa; model Coxa; model logitowy; model komplementarny logistyczno-logistyczny; estymator Kaplana–Meiera;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C23 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Models with Panel Data; Spatio-temporal Models
    • D31 - Microeconomics - - Distribution - - - Personal Income and Wealth Distribution
    • I32 - Health, Education, and Welfare - - Welfare, Well-Being, and Poverty - - - Measurement and Analysis of Poverty

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