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Modele Markowa w analizie dynamiki zróżnicowania regionalnego dochodu w krajach UE

Author

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  • Anna Decewicz

    (Szkoła Główna Handlowa w Warszawie)

Abstract

Przedmiotem artykułu jest analiza zróżnicowania regionalnego dochodu w krajach Unii Europejskiej za pomocą modeli Markowa, przy uwzględnieniu powiązań przestrzennych. W badaniu wykorzystuje się informacje dotyczące poziomu PKB per capita w odniesieniu do średniej europejskiej, pochodzące z banku danych regionalnych Eurostatu. Analiza obejmuje zróżnicowanie regionalne PKB w kolejnych latach, badanie efektów przestrzennych oraz dynamikę rozkładu PKB. Ostatni cel jest realizowany przy użyciu modelu Markowa, którego stany odpowiadają wyodrębnionym na podstawie rozkładu dochodu per capita charakterystykom regionów. Oszacowanie macierzy przejścia umożliwia wnioskowanie na temat dynamiki rozkładu dochodów w kolejnych okresach oraz konwergencji regionalnej. Rozszerzenie podstawowego modelu Markowa polega na uwzględnieniu efektów przestrzennych, a więc oddziaływań sąsiadów na dynamikę danego regionu, poprzez zastosowanie modelu niejednorodnego.

Suggested Citation

  • Anna Decewicz, 2013. "Modele Markowa w analizie dynamiki zróżnicowania regionalnego dochodu w krajach UE," Collegium of Economic Analysis Annals, Warsaw School of Economics, Collegium of Economic Analysis, issue 30, pages 75-88.
    • Handle: RePEc:sgh:annals:i:30:y:2013:p:75-88
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Fingleton, Bernard, 1997. "Specification and Testing of Markov Chain Models: An Application to Convergence in the European Union," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 59(3), pages 385-403, August.
    2. Magrini, Stefano, 1999. "The evolution of income disparities among the regions of the European Union," Regional Science and Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 29(2), pages 257-281, March.
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