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Исследование Зависимости Между Развитием Малого Предпринимательства И Микрофинансовой Обеспеченностью Регионов Рф

Author

Listed:
  • Репина Е.Г.i
  • *
  • Ширяева Л.К.i
  • **
  • Федорова Е.А.ii
  • ***

Abstract

i Самарский государственный экономический университет, Самара ii Финансовый университет при Правительстве РФ, НИУ ВШЭ, Москва * E-mail: violet261181@mail.ru ** E-mail:shiryeva_lk@mail.ru *** E-mail:ecolena@mail.ru Аннотация. Выдвигается гипотеза об изменении структуры зависимости между уровнем развития малого предпринимательства и микрофинансовой обеспеченностью российских регионов в связи с госрегулированием деятельности микрофинансовых организаций (МФО) в 2013-2016 гг. Уровень развития малого предпринимательства и микрофинансовая обеспеченность российских регионов характеризуются числом предприятий малого бизнеса (МБ) и числом зарегистрированных МФО в расчете на 1 тыс. человек населения региона. Для моделирования структуры зависимости используется метод копула-функций. Выбор наиболее подходящей копулы осуществляется на основе минимизации информационного критерия Акаике, а качество подгонки копула-модели проверяется с помощью теста, основанного на статистике Крамера-Мизеса. Найдено, что в период 2012-2016 гг. происходили трансформации вероятностной структуры зависимости исследуемых показателей: от копулы независимости в 2012-2013 гг. к копулам Франка в 2014-2015 гг. и Клейтона в 2016 г. Делается вывод о том, что трансформации вероятностной структуры зависимости исследуемых показателей в 2012-2016 гг. обусловлены долговременным эффектом от мер государственного регулирования сферы МФО, предпринятым в 2013-2016 гг. Новизна работы заключается в оценке влияния мер государственного регулирования сферы МФО на уровень развития малого предпринимательства в регионах на основе метода копула-функций.

Suggested Citation

  • Репина Е.Г.i & * & Ширяева Л.К.i & ** & Федорова Е.А.ii & ***, 2019. "Исследование Зависимости Между Развитием Малого Предпринимательства И Микрофинансовой Обеспеченностью Регионов Рф," Журнал Экономика и математические методы (ЭММ), Центральный Экономико-Математический Институт (ЦЭМИ), vol. 55(2), pages 41-57, апрель.
    • Handle: RePEc:scn:cememm:v:55:y:2019:i:2:p:41-57
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    References listed on IDEAS

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