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Построение Динамической Стохастической Модели Общего Равновесия Для Экономики С Высокой Зависимостью От Экспорта Нефти

Author

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  • Полбин Андрей Владимирович

    (Институт экономической политики имени Е.Т. Гайдара)

Abstract

В настоящей работе описывается динамическая стохастическая модель общего равновесия для малой открытой экономики с высокой зависимостью от экспорта нефти. Особенностью предлагаемой модели является многотоварная структура, в рамках которой нефть как экспортируется, так и используется в качестве фактора производства торгуемых и неторгуемых товаров. В модели также предполагается существование номинальных и реальных жесткостей, наиболее часто используемых в литературе: жесткостей цен и заработных плат, привычек в потреблении домохозяйств, издержек на установку капитала и издержек загрузки капитальных мощностей. В качестве одного из практических применений откалиброванной модели анализируется эффект от изменения мировых цен на нефть.

Suggested Citation

  • Полбин Андрей Владимирович, 2013. "Построение Динамической Стохастической Модели Общего Равновесия Для Экономики С Высокой Зависимостью От Экспорта Нефти," Higher School of Economics Economic Journal Экономический журнал Высшей школы экономики, CyberLeninka;Федеральное государственное автономное образовательное учреждение высшего образования «Национальный исследовательский университет «Высшая школа экономики», vol. 17(2), pages 323-359.
    • Handle: RePEc:scn:025886:15693608
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Zubarev, A. & Rybak, K., 2022. "The impact of global shocks on the Russian economy: FAVAR approach," Journal of the New Economic Association, New Economic Association, vol. 56(4), pages 48-68.
    2. Idrisov, Georgy & Kazakova, Maria & Polbin, Andrey, 2015. "A theoretical interpretation of the oil prices impact on economic growth in contemporary Russia," Russian Journal of Economics, Elsevier, vol. 1(3), pages 257-272.
    3. Zubarev, Andrey V. (Зубарев, Андрей) & Polbin, Andrey V. (Ролбин, Андрей), 2016. "Estimation of Macroeconomic Effects from the Decline in Oil Export Duty [Оценка Макроэкономических Эффектов От Снижения Экспортной Пошлины На Нефть]," Ekonomicheskaya Politika / Economic Policy, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration, vol. 6, pages 8-35, December.
    4. Leonid A. Serkov, 2018. "The External and Internal Shocks' Impact on Macroeconomic Indicators of a Region," Journal of New Economy, Ural State University of Economics, vol. 19(4), pages 45-63, August.
    5. Anton I. Votinov & Maria A. Elkina, 2018. "Estimation of Fiscal Stimulus Efficiency in Russian Economy: Simple DSGE Model With Government Sector," Finansovyj žhurnal — Financial Journal, Financial Research Institute, Moscow 125375, Russia, issue 5, pages 83-96, October.
    6. Bazhenova Olena & Bazhenova Yuliya, 2016. "Modelling the Impact of External Shocks on Economy of Ukraine: Dsge Approach," Ekonomika (Economics), Sciendo, vol. 95(1), pages 64-83, January.
    7. Irina Khvostova & Alexander Larin & Anna Novak, 2016. "Euler Equation with Habits and Measurement Errors: Estimates on Russian Micro Data," Panoeconomicus, Savez ekonomista Vojvodine, Novi Sad, Serbia, vol. 63(4), pages 395-409.
    8. Shulgin, Andrei, 2014. "How much monetary policy rules do we need to estimate DSGE model for Russia?," Applied Econometrics, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA), vol. 36(4), pages 3-31.
    9. Sergey Sinelnikov-Murylev & Sergey Drobyshevsky & Maria Kazakova & Michael Alexeev, 2016. "Decomposition of Russia's GDP Growth Rates," Research Paper Series, Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy, issue 167P, pages 123-123.
    10. Gleb Kurovskiy, 2017. "Modelling terms of trade volatility impact on output dynamics in Russia," EcoMod2017 10361, EcoMod.
    11. Skrypnik, Dmitriy, 2016. "A Macroeconomic Model of the Russian Economy," MPRA Paper 93506, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    12. Irina Khvostova & Alexander Larin & Anna Novak, 2016. "The Euler Equation with Habits and Measurement Errors: Estimates on Russian Micro Data," Panoeconomicus, Savez ekonomista Vojvodine, Novi Sad, Serbia, vol. 63(4), pages 395-409, September.
    13. Sinelnikov-Murylev, Sergei (Синельников-Мурылев, Сергей) & Drobyshevskiy, Sergei (Дробышевский, Сергей) & Kazakova, Maria (Казакова, Мария), 2014. "Decomposition of the russian GDP growth rate in 1999-2014 [Декомпозиция Темпов Роста Ввп России В 1999—2014 Годах]," Ekonomicheskaya Politika / Economic Policy, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration, vol. 5, pages 7-37, October.
    14. Daniil Lomonosov, 2023. "Shocks of Business Activity and Specific Shocks to Oil Market in DSGE Model of Russian Economy and Their Influence Under Different Monetary Policy Regimes," Russian Journal of Money and Finance, Bank of Russia, vol. 82(4), pages 44-79, December.
    15. Скрыпник Д.В., 2016. "Макроэкономическая Модель Российской Экономики," Журнал Экономика и математические методы (ЭММ), Центральный Экономико-Математический Институт (ЦЭМИ), vol. 52(3), pages 92-113, июль.

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