IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/scm/ejafbu/v11y2023i1p91-100.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Oil Demand And World Oil Price Developments During Economic Crisis, Macro-Econometric Analysis

Author

Listed:
  • Anamaria-Geanina Macovei

    (Stefan cel Mare University, Suceava, Romania)

Abstract

The economic crises have had a significant impact on oil demand and oil prices per barrel worldwide, with significant economic consequences and requiring appropriate adaptation strategies. Oil is one of the most important energy sources used in industry, transport, and production. Fluctuations in oil demand and oil prices have a significant impact on national and global economies. The aim of this study is to provide a time series analysis of the evolution of oil demand and the price of a barrel of oil as an important source of energy in the world that plays a role in the global industry. The proposed objectives to achieve this aim are O1: analysis of the influence of crises on global oil demand, O2: analysis of the influence of crises on global oil barrel prices, O3: time evolution of global oil demand, and O4: time evolution of global oil barrel prices. Analytical and forecasting methods will be used to achieve the proposed aim, using statistical data on oil demand over the period 2005-2022 and the average oil price per barrel over the period 1976-2022. The results of the study consist of macro-econometric models for the analysis of the evolution over time of the level of oil demand and the average price of a barrel of oil, focusing on the economic crises that occurred during the period analyzed.

Suggested Citation

  • Anamaria-Geanina Macovei, 2023. "Oil Demand And World Oil Price Developments During Economic Crisis, Macro-Econometric Analysis," European Journal of Accounting, Finance & Business, "Stefan cel Mare" University of Suceava, Romania - Faculty of Economics and Public Administration, West University of Timisoara, Romania - Faculty of Economics and Business Administration, vol. 11(1), pages 91-100, February.
    • Handle: RePEc:scm:ejafbu:v:11:y:2023:i:1:p:91-100
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.accounting-management.ro/getpdf.php?paperid=31_12
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Graciela Chichilnisky & Geoffrey Heal, 1993. "Global Environmental Risks," Journal of Economic Perspectives, American Economic Association, vol. 7(4), pages 65-86, Fall.
    2. Burbidge, John & Harrison, Alan, 1984. "Testing for the Effects of Oil-Price Rises Using Vector Autoregressions," International Economic Review, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association, vol. 25(2), pages 459-484, June.
    3. Apergis, Nicholas & Payne, James E., 2010. "Structural breaks and petroleum consumption in US states: Are shocks transitory or permanent?," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 38(10), pages 6375-6378, October.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Kargi, Bilal, 2014. "Electricity Consumption and Economic Growth: Long-Term Co-Integrated Analysis on Turkey," EconStor Open Access Articles and Book Chapters, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, vol. 6(4), pages 285-293.
    2. Awerbuch, Shimon & Sauter, Raphael, 2006. "Exploiting the oil-GDP effect to support renewables deployment," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 34(17), pages 2805-2819, November.
    3. Rebeca Jiménez-Rodríguez, 2004. "Oil Price Shocks: Testing for Non-linearity," CSEF Working Papers 115, Centre for Studies in Economics and Finance (CSEF), University of Naples, Italy.
    4. Akinlo A. Enisan, 2020. "Asymmetric impacts of oil price shocks on unemployment: Evidence from Nigeria," The Review of Finance and Banking, Academia de Studii Economice din Bucuresti, Romania / Facultatea de Finante, Asigurari, Banci si Burse de Valori / Catedra de Finante, vol. 12(1), pages 63-78, June.
    5. Bharat Trehan, 1986. "Oil prices, exchange rates and the U.S. economy: an empirical investigation," Economic Review, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, issue Fall, pages 25-43.
    6. David M. Newbery & David M. Reiner & Robert A. Ritz, 2018. "When is a carbon price floor desirable?," Working Papers EPRG 1816, Energy Policy Research Group, Cambridge Judge Business School, University of Cambridge.
    7. Guillouet, Louise & Martimort, David, 2023. "Acting in the Darkness: Towards some Foundations for the Precautionary Principle," TSE Working Papers 23-1411, Toulouse School of Economics (TSE), revised Jul 2024.
    8. Kim, Kyungah & Choi, Jihye & Lee, Jihee & Lee, Jongsu & Kim, Junghun, 2023. "Public preferences and increasing acceptance of time-varying electricity pricing for demand side management in South Korea," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 119(C).
    9. Hanabusa, Kunihiro, 2012. "The effect of 107th OPEC Ordinary Meeting on oil prices and economic performances in Japan," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 16(3), pages 1666-1672.
    10. Guglielmo Maria Caporale & Abdurrahman Nazif Catik & Gül Serife Huyugüzel Kisla & Mohamad Husam Helmi & Coskun Akdeniz, 2021. "Oil Prices, Exchange Rates and Sectoral Stock Returns in the BRICS-T Countries: A Time-Varying Approach," CESifo Working Paper Series 9322, CESifo.
    11. Engemann, Kristie M. & Kliesen, Kevin L. & Owyang, Michael T., 2011. "Do Oil Shocks Drive Business Cycles? Some U.S. And International Evidence," Macroeconomic Dynamics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 15(S3), pages 498-517, November.
    12. Anand, B. & Paul, Sunil & Ramachandran, M., 2014. "Volatility Spillover between Oil and Stock Market Returns," Indian Economic Review, Department of Economics, Delhi School of Economics, vol. 49(1), pages 37-56.
    13. Chichilnisky, Graciela & Heal, Geoffrey, 1995. "Markets with tradable CO2 emission quotas: principles and practice," MPRA Paper 8486, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    14. Omer Ali Ibrahim & Sonal Devesh & Hisham Mohamed Hassan, 2019. "Sensitivity of Fiscal Balances to Oil Price Shocks: Short and Long Term Effects in the Context of Oman," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 9(2), pages 146-155.
    15. Dagher, Leila & Yacoubian, Talar, 2012. "The causal relationship between energy consumption and economic growth in Lebanon," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 50(C), pages 795-801.
    16. K. Lawler; A. Alshriaan, 2018. "The Impact Of The 2008 Oil Price Collapse On Kuwait Gdp 2008-2012: An Estimation Based On Stochastic Logistical Methods," Вестник Киевского национального университета имени Тараса Шевченко. Экономика., Socionet;Киевский национальный университет имени Тараса Шевченко, vol. 4(199), pages 62-66.
    17. Karp, Larry & Zhang, Jiangfeng, 2001. "Bayesian Learning and the Regulation of Greenhouse Gas Emissions," Department of Agricultural & Resource Economics, UC Berkeley, Working Paper Series qt2fr0783c, Department of Agricultural & Resource Economics, UC Berkeley.
    18. Qian Shen & Mohammad Sogir Hossain Khandoker & Joti Saha & Rafiqul Bhuyan, 2024. "The Impact of Crude Oil Price Shock: Evidence from Bangladesh," International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, Econjournals, vol. 14(6), pages 257-266, October.
    19. Knut Are Aastveit & Hilde C. Bjørnland & Leif Anders Thorsrud, 2015. "What Drives Oil Prices? Emerging Versus Developed Economies," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 30(7), pages 1013-1028, November.
    20. Francisco Cabo & Guiomar Martín-Herrán, 2006. "North–South transfers vs biodiversity conservation: a trade differential game," The Annals of Regional Science, Springer;Western Regional Science Association, vol. 40(2), pages 249-278, June.

    More about this item

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:scm:ejafbu:v:11:y:2023:i:1:p:91-100. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Liviu Scutariu The email address of this maintainer does not seem to be valid anymore. Please ask Liviu Scutariu to update the entry or send us the correct address (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/feusvro.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.