IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/sbr/abstra/v58y2006i4p349-364.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Risk Love and the Favorite-Longshot Bias: Evidence from German Harness Horse Racing

Author

Listed:
  • Stefan Winter
  • Martin Kukuk

Abstract

Empirical studies of horse race betting in the U.S., the UK, and Australia have established the so called favorite-longshot bias. Studies find that on average, bets on longshots lose much more than do bets on favorites. This means that longshots are overbet and favorites are underbet. By using a large data set of pari-mutuel harness horse races, we show that the favorite-longshot bias exists in Germany as well. We provide evidence that there is bias not only for simple win bets, but also for other types of bets as well, and that the bias is a time- and track-invariant phenomenon. The bias is consistent with the assumption of the (local) love of risk of the betting audience.

Suggested Citation

  • Stefan Winter & Martin Kukuk, 2006. "Risk Love and the Favorite-Longshot Bias: Evidence from German Harness Horse Racing," Schmalenbach Business Review (sbr), LMU Munich School of Management, vol. 58(4), pages 349-364, October.
    • Handle: RePEc:sbr:abstra:v:58:y:2006:i:4:p:349-364
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.vhb.de/sbr/pdfarchive.html
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Martin Kukuk & Stefan Winter, 2008. "An Alternative Explanation of the Favorite-Longshot Bias," Journal of Gambling Business and Economics, University of Buckingham Press, vol. 2(2), pages 79-96, September.
    2. Philip W. S. Newall & Dominic Cortis, 2021. "Are Sports Bettors Biased toward Longshots, Favorites, or Both? A Literature Review," Risks, MDPI, vol. 9(1), pages 1-9, January.
    3. Jinook Jeong & Jee Young Kim & Yoon Jae Ro, 2019. "On the efficiency of racetrack betting market: a new test for the favourite-longshot bias," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 51(54), pages 5817-5828, November.
    4. Buhagiar, Ranier & Cortis, Dominic & Newall, Philip W.S., 2018. "Why do some soccer bettors lose more money than others?," Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Finance, Elsevier, vol. 18(C), pages 85-93.
    5. Stefan Winter & Martin Kukuk, 2008. "Do horses like vodka and sponging? - On market manipulation and the favourite-longshot bias," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 40(1), pages 75-87.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Betting; Favorite-Longshot-Bias; Horse Race; Market Equilibrium; Risk;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • L83 - Industrial Organization - - Industry Studies: Services - - - Sports; Gambling; Restaurants; Recreation; Tourism
    • D58 - Microeconomics - - General Equilibrium and Disequilibrium - - - Computable and Other Applied General Equilibrium Models
    • D81 - Microeconomics - - Information, Knowledge, and Uncertainty - - - Criteria for Decision-Making under Risk and Uncertainty

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:sbr:abstra:v:58:y:2006:i:4:p:349-364. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    We have no bibliographic references for this item. You can help adding them by using this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: sbr (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/fbmunde.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.