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Estimating the Expected Cost of Equity Capital Usind Analysts’ Consensus Forecasts

Author

Listed:
  • Holger Daske
  • Günther Gebhardt
  • Stefan Klein

Abstract

In this study, we develop a technique for estimating a firm’s expected cost of equity capital derived from its stock price and analysts’ consensus earnings forecasts. Our estimation method, which is based on the residual income valuation model, extends and refines currently available approaches by explicitly allowing daily estimation and using only publicly available information at that estimation date. We apply this technique to estimate the expected cost of equity capital at the market, industry and individual firm level, using historical German data from 1989-2002, and to examine firm characteristics that have been systematically related to these estimated return expectations.

Suggested Citation

  • Holger Daske & Günther Gebhardt & Stefan Klein, 2006. "Estimating the Expected Cost of Equity Capital Usind Analysts’ Consensus Forecasts," Schmalenbach Business Review (sbr), LMU Munich School of Management, vol. 58(1), pages 2-36, January.
    • Handle: RePEc:sbr:abstra:v:58:y:2006:i:1:p:2-36
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Simon Krotter & Andreas Schüler, 2013. "Empirische Ermittlung von Eigen-, Fremd- und Gesamtkapitalkosten: eine Untersuchung deutscher börsennotierter Aktiengesellschaften," Schmalenbach Journal of Business Research, Springer, vol. 65(5), pages 390-433, September.
    2. Benjamin Pfister & Manfred Schwaiger & Tobias Morath, 2020. "Corporate reputation and the future cost of equity," Business Research, Springer;German Academic Association for Business Research, vol. 13(1), pages 343-384, April.
    3. Christian Hofmann, 2006. "Unternehmenspublizität und Eigenkapitalkosten," Schmalenbach Journal of Business Research, Springer, vol. 58(55), pages 109-146, January.
    4. Cao Thi Mien Thuy & Nguyen Vinh Khuong & Nguyen Thi Canh & Nguyen Thanh Liem, 2022. "The mediating effect of stock price crash risk on the relationship between corporate social responsibility and cost of equity moderated by state ownership: Moderated‐mediation analysis," Corporate Social Responsibility and Environmental Management, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 29(5), pages 1384-1395, September.
    5. Ruffing-Straube, Patricia, 2015. "Implizite Eigenkapitalkosten und der Fehler in den Analystenprognosen in der Schweiz," Die Unternehmung - Swiss Journal of Business Research and Practice, Nomos Verlagsgesellschaft mbH & Co. KG, vol. 69(4), pages 418-439.
    6. Echterling, F. & Eierle, B. & Ketterer, S., 2015. "A review of the literature on methods of computing the implied cost of capital," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 42(C), pages 235-252.
    7. Jan A. Kempkes & Francesco Suprano & Andreas Wömpener, 2023. "An empirical evaluation of dynamic approaches for estimating firms’ expected cost of equity capital," The Financial Review, Eastern Finance Association, vol. 58(4), pages 859-886, November.
    8. Holger Daske & Günther Gebhardt, 2006. "Zukunftsorientierte Bestimmung von Risikoprämien und Eigenkapitalkosten für die Unternehmensbewertung," Schmalenbach Journal of Business Research, Springer, vol. 58(4), pages 530-551, June.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Analyst Forecasts; Cost of Equity Capital; Equity Premium; Residual Income Valuation;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G12 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Asset Pricing; Trading Volume; Bond Interest Rates
    • G14 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Information and Market Efficiency; Event Studies; Insider Trading
    • G31 - Financial Economics - - Corporate Finance and Governance - - - Capital Budgeting; Fixed Investment and Inventory Studies
    • M41 - Business Administration and Business Economics; Marketing; Accounting; Personnel Economics - - Accounting - - - Accounting

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