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Pricing With Performance-Controlled Multiples

Author

Listed:
  • Volker Herrmann
  • Frank Richter

Abstract

We test an approach for estimating the potential price of as yet untraded equity investments. The innovative aspect of our approach is that we use specific control factors, which we identify on the basis of a simplified valuation model. We investigate the accuracy of our approach by using a multi-year sample of American and European firms. The empirical results suggest that a selection of comparable assets based on control factors is superior to a selection based on SIC industry codes. Our study also offers some guidance on the reliability of different bases of reference and on diverse methods of estimating multiples from comparable sets.

Suggested Citation

  • Volker Herrmann & Frank Richter, 2003. "Pricing With Performance-Controlled Multiples," Schmalenbach Business Review (sbr), LMU Munich School of Management, vol. 55(3), pages 194-219, July.
    • Handle: RePEc:sbr:abstra:v:55:y:2003:i:3:p:194-219
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    Cited by:

    1. repec:hum:wpaper:sfb649dp2005-002 is not listed on IDEAS
    2. Nigohos Kanaryan, 2019. "Enhancing The Adjustments Of Market Multiples For Better Operating Efficiency," Economic Archive, D. A. Tsenov Academy of Economics, Svishtov, Bulgaria, issue 4 Year 20, pages 3-20.
    3. Dittmann, I. & Maug, E.G., 2006. "Valuation Biases, Error Measures, and the Conglomerate Discount," ERIM Report Series Research in Management ERS-2006-011-F&A, Erasmus Research Institute of Management (ERIM), ERIM is the joint research institute of the Rotterdam School of Management, Erasmus University and the Erasmus School of Economics (ESE) at Erasmus University Rotterdam.
    4. Dragos Ioan Mînjina, 2009. "Relative Performance of Valuation Using Multiples. Empirical Evidence on Bucharest Stock Exchange," The Review of Finance and Banking, Academia de Studii Economice din Bucuresti, Romania / Facultatea de Finante, Asigurari, Banci si Burse de Valori / Catedra de Finante, vol. 1(1), pages 035-053, December.
    5. repec:hum:wpaper:sfb649dp2005-062 is not listed on IDEAS
    6. Skočir, Matevž & Lončarski, Igor, 2024. "On the importance of asset pricing factors in the relative valuation," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 70(PB).
    7. Francesco Bavagnoli & Giangiacomo Buzzoni & Corrado Mandirola & Ernesto Salinelli, 2022. "Exploring market multiples accuracy for professional practices: sales is the value anchor but profitability and location matter too," Journal of Management & Governance, Springer;Accademia Italiana di Economia Aziendale (AIDEA), vol. 26(4), pages 1409-1442, December.
    8. Weiner, Christian, 2005. "The impact of industry classification schemes on financial research," SFB 649 Discussion Papers 2005-062, Humboldt University Berlin, Collaborative Research Center 649: Economic Risk.
    9. Forte, Gianfranco & Gianfrate, Gianfranco & Rossi, Emanuele, 2020. "Does relative valuation work for banks?," Global Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 44(C).
    10. WS Nel, 2015. "An Optimal Peer Group Selection Strategy for Multiples-Based Modelling in the South African Equity Market," Journal of Economics and Behavioral Studies, AMH International, vol. 7(3), pages 30-46.
    11. WS Nel & NJ le Roux, 2014. "Precision, Consistency and Bias in Emerging Equity Markets," Journal of Economics and Behavioral Studies, AMH International, vol. 6(5), pages 386-399.
    12. Štěpán Kohoutek & Pavla Maříková, 2022. "Methodological approach to business valuation by market multiples [Metodický postup při ocenění podniku tržními násobiteli]," Oceňování, Prague University of Economics and Business, vol. 15(1), pages 3-16.
    13. Emanuel Bagna & Enrico Cotta Ramusino, 2016. "Accounting-Based Valuation Using Market Multiples: The Case Of Cyclical Companies," DEM Working Papers Series 126, University of Pavia, Department of Economics and Management.
    14. José Couto & Paula Brito & António Cerqueira, 2017. "The Method of Market Multiples on the Valuation of Companies: A Multivariate Approach," FEP Working Papers 586, Universidade do Porto, Faculdade de Economia do Porto.
    15. Miroslava Vlčková & Tomáš Buus, 2021. "Some Statistical Properties of Models of Transitory Earnings," Acta Universitatis Agriculturae et Silviculturae Mendelianae Brunensis, Mendel University Press, vol. 69(2), pages 189-198.
    16. Dittmann, Ingolf & Weiner, Christian, 2005. "Selecting comparables for the valuation of European firms," SFB 649 Discussion Papers 2005-002, Humboldt University Berlin, Collaborative Research Center 649: Economic Risk.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Asset Pricing; Multiples; Discounted Cash-Flow; Key Performance Indivators;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G32 - Financial Economics - - Corporate Finance and Governance - - - Financing Policy; Financial Risk and Risk Management; Capital and Ownership Structure; Value of Firms; Goodwill
    • G12 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Asset Pricing; Trading Volume; Bond Interest Rates

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