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In Defence of Shift-Share

Author

Listed:
  • Stephen Fothergill

    (Centre for Environmental Studies, London)

  • Graham Gudgin

    (Department of Applied Economics, the University of Cambridge)

Abstract

The paper argues that criticisms of shift-share techniques are insufficiently strong to affect its application to the analysis of regional growth in the United Kingdom. Evidence for the 11 British regions for 1952-75 is used to demonstrate the robustness of the technique in the context of differing levels of sectoral disaggregation and choice of base years and the technique is then extended to incorporate multiplier and linkage effects. Finally its utility is compared with that of analysis of variance techniques for standardising for industrial structure.

Suggested Citation

  • Stephen Fothergill & Graham Gudgin, 1979. "In Defence of Shift-Share," Urban Studies, Urban Studies Journal Limited, vol. 16(3), pages 309-319, October.
  • Handle: RePEc:sae:urbstu:v:16:y:1979:i:3:p:309-319
    DOI: 10.1080/713702551
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Moore, Barry & Rhodes, John, 1973. "Evaluating the Effects of British Regional Economic Policy," Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 83(329), pages 87-110, March.
    2. Randall, J N, 1973. "Shift-Share Analysis as a Guide to the Employment Performance of West Central Scotland," Scottish Journal of Political Economy, Scottish Economic Society, vol. 20(1), pages 1-26, February.
    3. A. P. Thirlwall, 1967. "A Measure Of The ‘Proper Distribution Of Industry’," Oxford Economic Papers, Oxford University Press, vol. 19(1), pages 46-58.
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    Cited by:

    1. Elizabeth A. Mack, 2014. "Broadband and knowledge intensive firm clusters: Essential link or auxiliary connection?," Papers in Regional Science, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 93(1), pages 3-29, March.
    2. repec:elg:eechap:14395_4 is not listed on IDEAS
    3. Mario Polèse & Richard Shearmur, 2006. "Growth and Location of Economic Activity: The Spatial Dynamics of Industries in Canada 1971–2001," Growth and Change, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 37(3), pages 362-395, September.
    4. Syed Ather Hussain Akbari & Riaz Riazuddin, 1993. "Growth of Manufacturing Employment in Pakistan: A Comparative Analysis of Punjab and Sindh (Preliminary Results)," The Pakistan Development Review, Pakistan Institute of Development Economics, vol. 32(4), pages 1267-1277.

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